Week 2, day 3. Post time is 5:45 pm EDT
For the contest, each handicapper will designate one of his race picks per weekday and two on Saturday and Sunday. Win, place, show betting only. $20 per bet. Weeks run Monday through Sunday.
Play along and in future months you may have a chance to beat the pros.
In the 9th race at Lone Star Park, RT put $7 win, $13 place on 5-Beta Lake. he shoulda done beta, finishing out of the money. Garrity continues to be in a bad place. He picked 1-Bandit Swanson to win the 6th at Lone Star with his whole $20 and the horse finished second. Garrity is now -$40. RT is +$24.60.
The pick: Lone Star Park, Race 7, $7 to win and $13 to place on #6 Hunka Burning Love, post time 5:45 pm ET.
Why: #6 Hunka Burning Love (6/1) has a greater than average chance to wire this field. He looks like a new guy after being claimed by Broberg.
For my full analysis of this race using SmartCap, as well as another pick, check out my article found here.
The pick: Lone Star Park, Race 7, $20 to win on #2 Lasting Legacy, post time 5:45 pm ET.
Why: For the contest play today, we are heading back to Lone Star Park in suburban Dallas. We like the 7th race, an allowance for older horses at six furlongs on the dirt. Seven are entered, and two stand above the rest: 2 - Lasting Legacy and 4 - Welder. Welder is an amazing horse, an Oklahoma-bred 7-year-old gelding who has won 22 of 33 career starts, and finished in the money eight more times, meaning he’s only failed to hit the board three times. That’s incredibly impressive, and incredibly consistent.
We think Welder will probably hit the board today, but we do not think he’s going to win: we think he’s running into a buzz saw in Lasting Legacy. The Bret Calhoun-trained 6-year-old is lightly raced, with only ten career starts, but when he’s been able to run, he’s been good: he put together three races last year that were nothing short of sensational. He lost his 2020 seasonal debut last out, finishing fourth in a Grade 3 stakes at Gulfstream Park in February, but he is not going to miss today: look for him to stalk the pace, which will probably be set by Welder, and blow to the front with a strong move at the top of the stretch. He has decent early speed and a very, very strong finishing kick, and in six-furlong races, that combination is lethal. We will put our entire $20 contest bankroll on Lasting Legacy to win at 6/5.
For more of today's picks, check out my article here.