O'Sullivan's Sunday WNBA Picks: Sun vs Sky, Sparks vs Mystics, Aces vs Storm, Dream vs Lynx

Connecticut Sun at Chicago Sky, 1 pm Eastern, Los Angeles Sparks at Washington Mystics, 3 pm, Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm, 3 pm, Atlanta Dream at Minnesota Lynx, 7 pm.
Kelsey Plum of the Aces.
Kelsey Plum of the Aces.@LVAces on Twitter

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Follow my picks on Twitter: @OSullyPicks

Seattle O’Sullivan 2022 WNBA Season so far: 120-84-2, +$210.44

(Yesterday: 2-0, +$8.38)

(Standing Caveat: The universe is chaotic. Life is unpredictable. Things happen. Like injuries. And COVID protocols. In following Seattle O’Sullivan’s betting advice, be advised that you should always monitor your bets during the day to make certain unforeseen things have not occurred which might change your wagering opinion. Thank you.)

Connecticut Sun at Chicago Sky, 1 pm Eastern

The Pick: Connecticut +3.5 (-115), bet $5 to win $4.35

I think the line is based a little too much on the last meeting between these two teams, which Chicago won 95-92. First off, although I understand that game was in Connecticut, you’ll notice the Sun’s within 3.5 points. I don’t believe Chicago has that much more of an advantage simply because they’re at home today. Connecticut and Chicago played an intense series in last season’s playoffs, where the Sky kinda took it to the Sun. I’m not arguing Connecticut’s better, but I am arguing that the Sun are still interested in getting that bad taste out of their collective mouths. The extra half-point makes it an easier decision. This game’s tight.

Los Angeles Sparks at Washington Mystics, 3 pm Eastern

The Pick: Los Angeles +11 (-121), bet $5 to win $4.15

If you can find Los Angeles at +11, grab it. It’s not my hard and fast rule, but you’ve heard me rail about WNBA teams laying double-digits. I don’t like it. The Sparks need this game if they’re to have any chance at making the playoffs. Washington has clinched already, so they can be excused if they don’t put forth the most intense effort today. Further, Los Angeles is capable of playing the Mystics close - in fact, they beat Washington on June 21. I think Washington wins but it’s workmanlike.

Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm, 3 pm Eastern

The Pick: Las Vegas +1.5 (-114), bet $5 to win $4.39

I mean, Las Vegas is better, right? They still have a shot at the top-seed in the WNBA playoffs, right? They score an average of 89.85 points per game to Seattle’s 80.69, right? Don’t discount the incentive Aces’s star guard Kelsey Plum, a University of Washington grad, has to play well against Storm great Sue Bird in the Storm’s home arena. Plum’s averaging twenty points per game and while the Aces have been up-and-down in the second half of the season, I still think they’re the favorite to win the whole thing come fall. Seattle beat Las Vegas by ten in June; the Aces remember.

Atlanta Dream at Minnesota Lynx, 7 pm Eastern

The Pick: Atlanta +2.5 (-110), bet $5.50 to win $5

(shrug) I think Atlanta’s better. I think the Dream are a team no one should want to face in the first round of the playoffs, because they’re getting better with each game and chances are the best player on the court will be their rookie star Rhyne Howard. By the way, Minnesota is a mere 6-10 at home. Atlanta’s already beaten the Lynx this year, so there’s no fear. I know Atlanta is banged up, but turns out Minnesota missing their best player, Napheesa Collier, all year was significant. These are two teams heading in opposite directions.

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