O'Sullivan's Tuesday WNBA Picks: Liberty vs Sun, Dream vs Aces, Fever vs Sparks – ATL deserves some respect
Follow my picks on Twitter: @OSullyPicks
Seattle O’Sullivan 2022 WNBA Season so far: 93-69-1, +$149.10
(Sunday: 4-2, +$18.97)
(Standing Caveat: The universe is chaotic. Life is unpredictable. Things happen. Like injuries. And COVID protocols. In following Seattle O’Sullivan’s betting advice, be advised that you should always monitor your bets during the day to make certain unforeseen things have not occurred which might change your wagering opinion. Thank you.)
New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun, 11:30 am Eastern
The Pick: Connecticut -6.5 (-113), bet $5 to win $4.45
I still don’t trust Connecticut enough to put down a strong play here, but I do think they’ll be ready to take on New York, who beat them way back on Opening Night. I think the Sun remember that, and the fact that the Liberty have beaten the Sun twice this season. The Sun’s defense isn’t as tight as it was last year, but it’s still third-best in the WNBA while the Liberty’s offense ranks 10th in the league. Connecticut should be able to shut down New York at home.
Atlanta Dream at Las Vegas Aces, 10 pm Eastern
The Pick: Atlanta +12.5 (-108), bet $7.50 to win $6.94
This line almost irks me. Yes, Las Vegas is the better team. But Atlanta is just not that bad. Didn’t they just beat up on Phoenix two days ago (and didn’t someone who writes this column predict just that?) True, the Mercury are not the Aces (and congratulations on an obvious point) but the notion that the Dream are still the league’s doormats are keeping some of these lines just way too high. Atlanta’s defense, in fact, is ranked better than Las Vegas’s. I’m not picking the Dream to win, just to be better than everyone thinks as they hang with an Aces team that is still struggling to regain early-season form.
Indiana Fever at Los Angeles Sparks, 10:30 pm Eastern
The Pick: Indiana +8.5 (-104), bet $7.50 to win $7.21
Speaking of teams that are not other teams…the Los Angeles Sparks are not the Seattle Storm. So while maybe it makes sense for Seattle to be favored over Indiana by so many points, 8.5 is too large a spread for the Sparks to be favored over, well, over anyone. Los Angeles has dropped three in a row and the only team with a worse defense is, well, Indiana. The Sparks are not that good. I know I write that a lot but, well, I have to pick a lot of their games. What, am I supposed to make stuff up?
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