O'Sullivan's Tuesday WNBA Picks: Mystics vs Fever, Mercury vs Sky, Sun vs Aces, Wings vs Sparks
Seattle O’Sullivan 2022 WNBA Season so far: 35-20, +$102.32
(Sunday: 3-1, +$7.74)
(Standing Caveat: The universe is chaotic. Life is unpredictable. Things happen. Like injuries. And COVID protocols. In following Seattle O’Sullivan’s betting advice, be advised that you should always monitor your bets during the day to make certain unforeseen things have not occurred which might change your wagering opinion. Thank you.)
Washington Mystics at Indiana Fever, 7 pm Eastern
The Pick: Indiana +8 (-110), bet $8.24 to win $7.50
I’ll take the home dog with a new leader hell-bent on getting his team to play defense getting almost double-digits. Interim coach Carlos Knox has promised that Indiana will play defense, and I believe that will help the Fever reach their potential. That may not be a playoff team - yet - but it’ll be a team that gives its opponents fits. Combine that with the fact that Washington’s last five games have gone under, and that spells a defensive battle where one should favor getting the points. The Mystics should win, but I continue to believe in Indiana’s future.
Phoenix Mercury at Chicago Sky, 7 pm Eastern
The Pick: Phoenix +9 (-113), bet $5.62 to win $5
Phoenix, losers of five straight, have been a bit of a mess to kick off this season. But I think they’ll show pride in this rematch of last year’s WNBA Finals. More importantly, Chicago is only 2-5 against the spread this year. The Sky have a tendency to fall behind and then make a run in the second half, which is frustrating if you’ve bet on them. Wait, it’s frustrating either way. Sky star Candace Parker is on record essentially saying they stunk during the regular season last year, and got hot in the playoffs. To which I say, uh, tell me something I don’t know, Candace. While the Mercury won’t have Brittney Griner, they should have Shey Peddy and Sophie Cunningham back, and Sklyer Diggins-Smith will be amped to match up with Sky point guard Courtney Vandersloot. I’ll take almost double-digit points here.
Connecticut Sun at Las Vegas Aces, 9 pm Eastern
The Pick: Las Vegas -4.5 (-110), bet $11 to win $10
The marquee matchup between the two teams everyone expected to meet in last year’s Finals, and expect to meet in this year’s Finals. The trouble is, Las Vegas is better and at home. I know that Connecticut has a better net rating (16.9 vs. 14.7) but I don’t care. Las Vegas is better. The Aces are a perfect 5-0 at home (4-1 against the spread), and the Sun are dealing with the aftermath of losing Jasmine Thomas for the season and coach Curt Miller dealing with COVID quarantine. I think Las Vegas is on a mission this year, and new head coach Becky Hammon will have her squad ready to make another statement against the East’s best team.
Dallas Wings at Los Angeles Sparks, 10:30 pm Eastern
The Pick: Dallas +1.5 (-112), bet $8.40 to win $7.50; Dallas +100, bet $5 to win $5
I’m sorry, but this line is an affront.
No, no, I’m (kinda) kidding, but Dallas is the better team. Better in offensive rating (102.4 to 102.3), better in defensive rating (102.7 to 107.0), and better in my heart - wait, wait, pretend you didn’t hear that. No, no, I’m (kinda) kidding, but the Wings won’t be facing too much of a disadvantage playing on the road, as the Sparks are only 3-5 at home. Also, Dallas has covered five of their last seven games. Finally, L.A. is dealing with some injury issues, particularly Jordin Canada (who I think isn’t that effective but starts at point guard for the Sparks) questionable with a hamstring. Even if Canada plays, Wings guard Marina Mabry should be able to have a good game. I like Dallas here. I always like Dallas - no, no, I’m kidding. (Kinda)
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