Manchester City’s Gabriel Jesus (33) scores against Everton during an English Premier League soccer match, Wednesday, Feb. 6, 2019. (Peter Byrne/PA via AP)
Manchester City’s Gabriel Jesus (33) scores against Everton during an English Premier League soccer match, Wednesday, Feb. 6, 2019. (Peter Byrne/PA via AP)Associated Press

Soccer: Sean Miller’s Saturday picks include Sunday morning game

We’ve got a three-team parlay in the Premier League and look for Wolverhampton to bounce back.

It is a massive derby weekend all over Europe, with Real Madrid hosting Barcelona in Spain (beIN Sports and Fubo.tv) and Porto taking on Benfica (3:30 p.m. Gol and Fubo.tv) in Portugal Saturday. In the Premier League, the North London Derby kicks off the weekend (7:30 a.m. NBC Sports and Fubo.tv), while the final match of the round will see Liverpool make the short trip across Stanley Park to take on Everton 11:15 a.m. Sunday (NBC Sports and Fubo.tv).

But the problem betting derby games is, the games are very tough to read. It is usually better to find some value in other matches.

(Home teams listed first)

Bournemouth (+1100) vs. Manchester City (-400), goal line City -1.5 (-154), Saturday 10 a.m.
Manchester United (-200) vs. Southampton (+550), goal line United -1.5 (+140), Saturday 10 a.m.
Fulham (+500) vs. Chelsea (-188), goal line Chelsea -1.5 (+138), Sunday, 9:05 a.m.

Chelsea has played well lately. The Blues were unlucky not to win the Carabao Cup against a strong Manchester City team last Sunday, then bounced back midweek with an easy win over third place Tottenham.
Manchester City has not been playing as well as it had been in early February, but Bournemouth is banged up, and got tuned up midweek, 5-1 against Arsenal.
Fulham has allowed 63 goals this season, with a -37 goal differential. Chelsea has a chance to continue its top four battle with a win here.
To get any value on some of the teams at the top of the Premier League, many times the best way to bet is to put two or three teams in a money line parlay. That is what the play is here.
The pick: Three team money line parlay, Manchester City (-400), Manchester United (-200), and Chelsea (-188), pays +187

Wolverhampton (-200) vs. Cardiff City (+600), Asian handicap Wolverhampton -1 (-120) 10 a.m. Saturday
Wolves have come back down to earth in the last week, but that sometimes happens to newly-promoted sides. Saturday, they see Cardiff City come to the West Midlands. The Bluebirds have been poor on their travels this season, picking up just eight points in 13 matches, with a -15 goal differential. Expect Wolverhampton to bounce back here, following a shock midweek loss to Hudderfield.
The pick: Wolverhampton -1 Asian handicap (-120)

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