Dallas Stars goalie Anton Khudobin makes a save on Vegas Golden Knights' Reilly Smith (19) during the first period of Game 4 of the NHL hockey Western Conference final, Saturday, Sept. 12, 2020, in Edmonton, Alberta.
Dallas Stars goalie Anton Khudobin makes a save on Vegas Golden Knights' Reilly Smith (19) during the first period of Game 4 of the NHL hockey Western Conference final, Saturday, Sept. 12, 2020, in Edmonton, Alberta. Jason Franson | The Canadian Press via AP)

NHL Playoffs: Greg Frank picks goals when looking at Stars vs Golden Knights

Vegas has been a bit unlucky in this series as the Golden Knights face elimination in Game 5 of the Western Conference Final tonight against Dallas. Game time: 8 pm on NBCSN

Stars (+153) @ Golden Knights (5)

Pick: Over 5

Vegas has been a bit unlucky in this series as the Golden Knights face elimination in Game 5 of the Western Conference Final tonight against Dallas. In Games 3 and 4, Vegas combined to outshoot the Stars 73-43, yet lost both games and scored just three goals in the two games. The play-driving metrics certainly indicate that the Golden Knights deserved a better fate.

It’s no secret backup goaltender Anton Khudobin has been brilliant for Dallas in Ben Bishop’s absence. Sooner or later, I’m expecting to Khudobin to regress at least a little bit and Vegas to score at least three goals. I’ll take my chances that tonight is that night. Dallas showed an ability to win higher-scoring games as well in the second round against Colorado so rather than lay a hefty price on the Vegas money line, I’d prefer to go over the total tonight in an elimination game for the Golden Knights.

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