We're coming down the back stretch of the season with our NFL Anytime TD props, and we're pretty happy with the results so far. Our team is sitting at 35-49 for a profit of 13.16 units. Last week was especially kind to us, as we went 3-1 and a couple of the wins were at nice +190 prices.
Our only was picked by yours truly (Nobz), so hopefully he can get back on the board this week. Our team gives out their best Anytime Touchdown props for NFL Week 16 below. Best of luck, folks! Let's do this!
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LAC at DAL - 1:00 PM EST
I’m rolling with CeeDee Lamb at +130 for an anytime TD because he’s a top-tier talent in a high-scoring offense against a defense that bends in the red zone.
Lamb is clearly Dallas’ alpha with his 99 targets, nearly 1,000 yards, and 7 total TDs. Keep in mind, despite being a wide receiver, 2 of those touchdowns were rushing. Even while battling illness this week, he was a full participant in practice and is confirmed to be active, so health isn’t a concern heading into this one.
The Chargers' defense may look good as they rank top 10 in a lot of categories, like sacks, where they’re 5th, and interceptions at 3rd, but they’re middle-of-the-pack when it comes to yards allowed and bottom 10 in red-zone TD percentage. That means teams are finishing drives against them — something Dallas does well, putting up 29 PPG, 4th-best in the NFL.
Lamb’s also a YAC machine and can score from anywhere at any time, and not just the red zone. He’s already hit 70+ yards in 9 of 13 games.
With Dallas leading the NFL in passing yards per game and the Chargers allowing 20+ PPG, this is the perfect mix of volume and matchup. Add in plus money on Lamb — who's the top target on one of the best offenses in the NFL — and it's a no-brainer play in what should be another shootout.
PIT at DET: 4:25 PM ET
Holy Smoke, I haven't cashed an anytime TD prop since Week 11. Stefon Diggs didn't get my memo about his revenge tour against the Bills last week. Oh well, time to shake it off and keep firing.
I loved what I saw from Mr. Gainwell on Monday Night Football. Any time that Aaron Rodgers was in trouble, he seemed to want to check the ball down to the former University of Memphis standout. Gainwell earned 20 touches last week, and I could see him getting a similar workload on Sunday against a very banged-up Lions defense.
Gainwell has already found the end zone six times this season, which is pretty impressive for a guy who usually gets just 45% of the snap share. Like I said, though, I expect that to increase. I saw a quote earlier this week where Rodgers was singing Gainwell's praises. Let's play him to score on Sunday in what should be a high-scoring thriller in the Motor City.
NYJ at NO - 1:00 PM EST
Scary Terry McLaurin got us back to the promised land last week by hauling in a long TD pass from Marcus Mariota. This week, I'm going to take a stab with a young QB in Tyler Shough. The former Oregon standout has already scored two rushing TDs in only six starts, and he should find some running lanes against this Jets defense.
Speaking of this Jets defense, it's been quite porous all season long. New York ranks 28th in touchdowns allowed per game and 27th in rushing touchdowns allowed per contest. That tells me that Shough could find plenty of daylight once he decides to tuck it and run.
Shough is actually more fleet of foot than he looks. A lot of folks forget that he ran a 4.6 40-yard dash at the combine. That was 2nd amongst QBs at that event. Give me Shough to hit pay dirt for the Saints on Sunday.
GB at CHI - 8:20 PM EST (Saturday)
Hear me out. Chicago's down two of their top 3 pass catchers for Saturday Night's Matchup against the Packers. Ben Johnson seemingly shows no fear (or overall emotion) during games. He wasn't afraid to throw Duvernay out there two weeks ago against Green Bay, and his first target of the season got him a catch.
Yes, this is a longshot. In fact, the biggest longshot on the Bears side of the ball. Chicago's Defense has better odds to score a touchdown than Duvernay.
He does also give you a shot at a return touchdown as the team's main kickoff and punt returner, but I think if he gets in the endzone it'll be from a Caleb Williams pass. It's Christmas, so my thinking is go big or go home. Most of all, Go Bears.