2025 is off to a beautiful start for our NFL Anytime TD props, as we are sitting at 31-46 for a profit of 8.26 units. However, we are reeling after a rough -3.8-unit performance in Week 12. Thankfully, we took last week off for Thanksgiving to regroup and refocus.
Our lone winner last week was picked by Matty B, who wisely selected Zach Charbonnet at +120 odds. Our team gives out their best Anytime Touchdown props below. Best of luck, folks! Let's do this!
CIN at BUF - 1:00 PM EST
I’m riding with Khalil Shakir at +265 for an anytime TD because the value is too good in a matchup this lopsided. The Bills are undoubtedly rolling, ranking 2nd in total offense and top 5 in scoring, and now they get to carve up a Bengals defense that ranks dead last in total yards allowed and passing yards allowed. Cincinnati is giving up 31+ PPG and just got shredded by lesser offenses. That’s a bad setup against Josh Allen, who’s averaging 28+ points with this unit and spreading it around with ease.
Initially I was looking to Dalton Kincaid as my pick, but with him being questionable with a hamstring, this only boosts Shakir’s ceiling. He’s already trending up, scoring in back-to-back games and logging 15 targets over his last 3 games. Shakir is averaging nearly 12 YPC and has been one of Allen’s most reliable receivers when the Bills need a play after the catch.
Everyone will be looking at Allen and James Cook III to put up some points — and yeah, they probably will — but at -175 and -210, there’s no value there and I have to make some money on this bet. Shakir at +265 in a blowout spot? With a red-hot offense facing the league’s worst pass D? That’s where I’m putting my money for an anytime touchdown this weekend.
IND at JAX: 1:00 PM EST
Warren draws a very good matchup here against a Jags defense that has struggled to defend tight ends who line up in-line. Jacksonville ranks next to last in fantasy points allowed to tight ends and 26th in yardage allowed to in-line tight ends.
That could be a problem against Warren, who leads the NFL in receiving yardage when lined up in-line (PFF). The rookie from Penn State has already found the end zone 4 times this season, and I like the fact that he has earned 21 targets over his last 3 games.
Daniel Jones has regressed a little after a HOT start to the season, but something tells me he'll be looking Warren's way quite often in this 'gotta have it' divisional game on the road. Give me T Dub to find the end zone on Sunday! BANG!
IND at JAX - 1:00 PM EST
I'm looking at Brian Thomas Jr. to find the end zone against the Indianapolis Colts in week 14. BTJ enters the week with just 1 receiving touchdown on the season but is due to get hot down the stretch.
This is a matchup he exploited last season, putting up 12 receptions for 225 yards and 2 touchdowns in two games. That included a 103 yard game with Mac Jones behind center.
The Colts are a bottom 5 coverage team in the NFL and have allowed 16+ yards per reception to opposing receivers over the past month. To make matters worse, they'll be without Sauce Gardner on Sunday.
75% of BTJ's career touchdowns have come at home and I expect him to find the end zone again on Sunday, cashing this +250 ticket.