2025 is off to a beautiful start for our NFL Anytime TD props, as we are sitting at 30-41 for a profit of 12.06 units. We are reeling after a rough -2.2-unit performance in Week 11.
Our only winners were on Trey McBride +115 and Tee Higgins +165. Let's find out what Week 12 holds. Our team gives out their best Anytime Touchdown props below. Best of luck, folks! Let's do this!
JAX at AZ - 4:05 PM EST
They don't count how, they count how many. So does it matter that that the scores came in garbage time. Nope. Put it on the board as we are 2-9 on the season!
I am not going to over think about it this week. I'm running it back and picking McBride this week as the Cardinals Host the Jaguars.
And here is why. Look at the game log for McBride. Zoom into week 6 Brissett's first start. And that's it. This Brissett - McBride connection is like Alexander Hamilton's work ethic, "Nonstop!"
SEA at TEN - 1:00 PM EST
I’m taking Zach Charbonnet for an anytime touchdown in the Seahawks-Titans matchup because his usage and red-zone involvement set him up perfectly with Tennessee’s weaknesses.
Charbonnet has 6 rushing TDs this season on just 105 carries, which aren’t MVP numbers, but they show he’s highly efficient in scoring range. He's getting more consistent looks in the red zone, even with Kenneth Walker in the mix, and even netted a TD against Arizona a couple of weeks ago.
So, he might not be lightning, but the real catch is that the Titans' defense is allowing 134.7 rushing yards per game — good for 26th in the league — and they’ve been one of the league’s worst at finishing defensive stands, giving up 27.3 PPG.
Seattle is averaging a hefty 29.4 PPG, good for 3rd in the NFL, and Charbonnet’s role in a high-powered offense that’s putting up 370+ yards per game gives him the right kind of opportunity we look for week after week — especially inside the 10, where his physical style shows up the most.
Seattle has the edge in nearly every offensive category here, and Tennessee’s inability to stop the run puts Charbonnet in position to find the end zone at least once this weekend.
In a game where the Seahawks are expected to score often and control the flow, Charbonnet is a smart bet to be part of that scoring, especially when he’s priced at +105 on FanDuel.
NE at CIN: 1:00 PM EST
This play is a no-brainer just on line value alone. DraftKings has this priced at -170, and FanDuel has it even higher at -185. We're getting 55 to 70 cents per dollar better than that at BetMGM or Bet365.
Yes, I know that Brown has only found the end zone 3 times all season, but we just can't ignore the insanely good value here. Oddsmakers have lined this game total at 51.5, so they're expecting quite a few touchdowns in this matchup. That's always a good thing when you're taking an Anytime TD prop.
The only thing that worries me is this stingy rush defense of the Pats. Mike Vrabal has this crew playing lights out, and they only give up 0.4 rushing TDs per game this year. However, I think Brown is more likely to score since Ja'Marr Chase has been suspended for this game. Let's lay the small price here. Good luck, sports betting family!
MIN at GB - 1:00 PM EST
With Tucker Kraft out for the season, this was supposed to be Musgrave's chance to step into the #1 TE role for the Packers. He caught 6 of 6 targets against the Panthers and Eagles but fumbled early against the Giants last week and saw his snaps disappear.
LaFleur has had Musgrave's back all week, and we expect him to step back in as TE1 for Green Bay this week. The matchup against the Vikings is a perfect spot for Musgrave to get back on track. In recent weeks, the Vikings have allowed strong performances to Kmet and Loveland (8 rec. 85 yds), Sam Laporta (6 rec. 97 yds 1 TD), and Oronde Gadsden (6 rec 88 yds 1 TD).
Minnesota is a bottom 5 defense against opposing tight ends, and no offense utilizes the TE position more in the red zone than the Packers. Give me the +550 dart throw with Musgrave this week.
IND at KC - 1:00 PM EST
Let's get back to our roots with a big man, as Jaxson Darts is out for a second week with a concussion. We’re going for Mr. Swift on this one. The big man in Kansas City had a comeback game last week against the Broncos. In a do-or-die game, he was about the only one Mahomes was throwing to who could catch the ball. With the season in complete chaos, expect the Mahomes-Kelce connection to remain hot, as their main passing threat back home in Arrowhead. Beyond having a somewhat decent season, Kelce has 4 TDs on the year. That’s a far cry from where he used to be, but against Indiana, he should be able to find a little more magic left in those 36-year-old bones.
The Colts are right in the middle of the pack for TE TDs this year, allowing 5 so far. However, they’ve allowed the third most yards to TEs in the entire NFL, totaling 726. Only the Dolphins and Bengals have been worse at stopping the big men. Considering the Chiefs also have their full complement of WRs now, plus Hunt has been decent in the run game, the Colts won’t be able to bring extra attention toward Kelce. Even though he’s old, the man still has size and a connection with Mahomes that is sure to keep him as a red zone threat.
NYJ at BAL - 1:00 PM EST
Well, Woody couldn’t find the end zone for us. Another disappointing pick to add to the L column. That’s alright, we shake it off and bounce back!
Are the Ravens a playoff contender, or are they getting ready to pack their bags for Cancun? No one really knows, and it seems to change by the week. One thing that doesn’t change is that the Jets let people score.
I’ll hand it to them, they have been playing some inspired football as of late; however, that doesn’t change the fact that they like to play in shootouts. Lots of scoring, whether they win or lose.
All of that being said, I think Lamar seems to enjoy playing football more than lying on a beach. For that reason, I’m confident he finds the end zone for us here and gets us back in the win column!