2025 is off to a fabulous start for our NFL Anytime TD props, as we are sitting at 25-33 for a profit of 11.91 units. We are still pumped after an epic +2.4-unit performance in Week 9.
Winners on RJ Harvey +300, Rashee Rice +110, and Jaxon Dart +230 helped the good guys get to the payout window. Let's find out what Week 10 will bring. Our team gives out their best Anytime Touchdown props below. Best of luck, friends! Let's get into it!
JAX at HOU - 1:00 PM EST
I am back again after another loss in week 9. Like I said last week, 'Trust the Process'. Last week, my pick, Travis Etienne, had 22 carries, 5 receptions, and 115 total yards. Solid week, but not good enough as we need to find the end zone! And right quick.
This week, I’m backing Nico Collins (+160) to hit the end zone when the Texans host the Jaguars Sunday at 1 pm. Collins has been quiet as of late due to a bye week and missing a game due to injury. But his return last week vs. Denver looked really good as he went 75 yards on 7 receptions.
This week, he gets right back in the end zone. And the key is he is going against the Jags defense scheme that, DONT SCARE ME! The Jags have allowed the fourth-most receiving touchdowns to wide receivers this season.
Their corners have struggled on the perimeter, especially against physical route runners like Collins. And Collins leads the Texans in red-zone targets and yards per route run. Volume, matchup, and touchdown history all point in the same direction. At +160, Nico Collins anytime touchdown is one of my favorite plays for Week 10.
BUF at MIA - 1:00 PM EST
I’m backing Khalil Shakir for an anytime TD this week because the matchup, usage, and QB play all point in his direction.
First off, the Bills are looking phenomenal. They’re leading the NFL in total offense and rushing, and they’re facing a Dolphins defense that’s near the bottom in points allowed with 27.0 PPG and ranked 29th in yards allowed per play. Miami’s given up big chunk plays all season with over 7.2 yards per attempt and 145+ rushing yards per game. Now they have to deal with a Bills offense averaging nearly 30 points. That’s a really bad spot for them, and a perfect one for someone like Shakir, who’s thriving with YAC.
Shakir has already turned 38 catches into 399 yards and 3 touchdowns, with a huge 348 of those yards coming after the catch. He’s become one of Josh Allen’s most efficient targets as he’s averaging 10.5 yards per grab and leading the team in yards after contact by a wide margin. Allen himself is rolling as well — 13 TDs, a 70.4% completion rate, and pushing the ball downfield with a long of 54 yards, which also happens to be Shakir’s season high.
The Dolphins’ defense hasn’t shown it can slow down WRs who get free in space, and with the Bills projected for 30+ points for Sunday’s game, there’s room for multiple receivers to get in on the action. At this pace, in this matchup, and at +185, Shakir’s playmaking after the catch makes him a strong bet to take one to the house. This is a strong plus money bet, and we’re going to cash.
BUF at MIA: 1:00 PM EST
Hopefully, we can stay hot with these Anytime TD plays, as we're a nice 5-4 on the year with them for +2.3 units of profit. I feel pretty dadgum good about Mr. Kincaid's chances this Sunday in South Beach.
Kincaid has been one of Josh Allen's favorite targets, as he's hauled in 27 receptions on 33 targets so far this season. The former Utah Ute has also found the end zone 4 times in just 7 games. He's coming off a HUGE game against the Chiefs, where he caught 6 passes for 101 yards and a TD.
Miami has struggled to defend tight ends all year long, as they rank 27th in fantasy points allowed to the position. Kincaid draws a beautiful matchup, as Miami linebackers rank dead last in coverage. Their safeties and corners don't rank much better either (26th and 28th, respectively). The +280 price is just too good to pass up here. Good luck, sports betting amigos!
DET at WSH - 4:25 PM EST
Well, my Hunter Long experiment blew up in my face last week. He only hauled in one reception for a measly six yards and didn't even come close to sniffing the end zone. It's time to get back to my Michigan roots and back one of my boys on the Lions!
Sometimes all you have to do is watch a few press conferences. New Detroit OC John Morton said the following about Williams last week: "I've failed him; we need to set him up for success."
Williams responded by hauling in 4 receptions for 66 yards and a touchdown against the Vikings in a shocking loss to the Vikings. I'm expecting more of the same from the former Alabama star this week, especially against a very subpar Commanders secondary.
NYG at CHI - 1:00 PM EST
Normally, I’d never do this—going back once felt wrong, let alone a third week in a row. However, Jaxson Dart isn’t a typical QB; this man has been on a mission to bring fun football back to NY. Especially after losing his partner, Cam Skattebo, it’s been up to Dart to move the ball on the ground.
Now, he’s facing the Bears, who just gave up 42 points last week to Joe Flacco. Dart should be able to find pay dirt again. Dart is on a four-game streak of scoring a rushing TD and has only failed to score a rushing touchdown once as a starter.
He’s averaging 41 yards and 8 rushing attempts per game. The man has been explosive on the ground. With solid odds again to get into the end zone on his feet, we’re gonna keep the Dart gravy train rolling.
NE at TB - 1:00 PM EST
Ok, this is outright embarrassing. I have struck out 3 in a row at this point; I should just have my wife pick for me. Mr. Diggs and the Patriots are red hot. Who knew the Patriots could ever replace Tom Brady? JK Maye has not lived up to that quite yet, but he is on fire!
The Patriots to be unstoppable (if you look past last week's survival vs the Falcons). In all of those games, Diggs has been getting a nice chunk of targets, and even better, he isn't dropping them. 38 targets/32 receptions/ 2 TDs. His 2 TDs came in the last 2 games, which seems to be a trend. The guy gets in the endzone.
Now, don't get me wrong, the Buccaneers defense isn't bad, but I think this game is going to be an old-school shootout. Lots of scoring, which is always nice and usually leads to many endzone opportunities. I like one of those opportunities going to our guy, Mr. Diggs!