2025 is off to a remarkable start for our NFL Anytime TD props, as we are sitting at 17-21 for a profit of 6.37 units. We made more than 4 units after a 4-3 performance in Week 5. It was just the bounce back the team needed.
Let's find out what Week 7 will hold. Our staff gives out their best Anytime Touchdown props below. Best of luck, folks! Let's get into it!
WSH at DAL - 4:25 PM EDT
To quote Janine Melnitz as portrayed by Annie Potts in the 1984 Classic, Ghostbusters.... "WE GOT ONE!"
https://share.google/images/NzN4iCCQte4sLhB7P
Yes, we did. We got the dub last week with Josh Downs' TD. I am thrilled to be 1-5 on the year, which is something the NY Jets can't say. This week, I am targeting the Commander- Cowboys game on Sunday. The O/U is 54.5, the highest of the week. We all know the Cowboys' defense is hot garbage, giving up over 400 yards per game, and can’t seem to stop anyone on third down. And the Commanders aren't the poster child for a good defense either. Bottom 3rd in the league, communication issues, missed tackles, blown coverages — it’s all there.
I could throw a dart at the starting lineup and probably land on a guy who will score this week. But if I have to choose one, I’m rolling with the chalk and Jacory Croskey-Merritt (-125) to find the end zone. I think the offense will run through Jacory, as there is some uncertainty around the receivers this week in Washington.
Deebo Samual (+120) gutted through a heel injury last week and saw limited action. He can score. He did not practice on Thursday, but I'm sure he'll play. There is also a good chance that Terry McLaurin (+120) is back and scores this week as he tries to return from a quad injury. But Jacory Croskey-Merritt has been the steady heartbeat of this offense, and I expect an even heavier workload. In a game where touches matter, Croskey-Merritt should get plenty of chances to find the end zone.
WSH at DAL - 4:25 PM EDT
I’m on Deebo Samuel this week at +115 for an anytime touchdown because everything about this matchup screams opportunity. He’s Jayden Daniels’ top target with 43 looks already, and he’s turned that into 315 yards and 3 TDs, which leads the team in both categories.
But what really makes him dangerous is what he does after the catch. Deebo’s racked up a whopping 174 yards after the catch, more than any other Commander, which makes him a threat to score from anywhere on the field. On top of that, Dallas has been one of the worst in the league at defending the pass, giving up 269.5 yards per game and 15 passing TDs already.
That’s the most yardage given up by any team. Add in a projected shootout with bookmakers setting the total at 54.5, and there’s no doubt Washington will be airing it out. Deebo's usage, explosiveness, and the state of that Cowboys secondary make this +115 line look like a gift.
WSH at DAL - 4:25 PM EDT
Bet365 may be the most generous book in history for TD props. If they are available in your area, please get an account with them. We're getting 95 cents better than FanDuel on this one, and 85 cents better than DraftKings. Line value doesn't guarantee winners, but it's one of the keys to winning long-term in this crazy hobby we all know and love.
Terry McLaurin was recently ruled OUT of this game for the Commanders, so Jaylen Daniels will be looking Ertz's way if the team is forced to pass down around the goal line. Deebo Samuel is listed as questionable, but he was able to practice on Friday. Even if Deebo goes, this price is too good to pass up on Ertz.
Ertz has already caught three TDs this season, and he's coming off a nice performance on Monday Night Football, where he hauled in 6 receptions for 43 yards and a score. Let's gobble up this +200 before it moves. Good luck, my friends!
CAR at NYJ - 1:00 PM EDT
My Michigan guy, Colston Loveland, let me down last week, but I'm sticking with the tight end theme again this week in the form of Mason Taylor. The former LSU star is an absolute beast at 6'5" and 251 pounds. To say he'll be a headache for the Panthers' linebackers to cover would be a gross understatement.
Taylor hasn't found the end zone yet, but some factors lead me to believe his time is coming soon. Garrett Wilson is listed as doubtful to play in this one with a hyperextended knee. Josh Reynolds is also on the injury report as questionable.
Justin Fields only targeted Taylor once last week against Denver, but I expect that to change against Carolina's less-than-stellar defense. Keep in mind that Taylor got 12 targets on October 5th against Dallas. He'll find paydirt in Week 7. Book it!
PHI at MIN - 1:00 PM EDT
Well, it’s official, we’re in a cold streak. After missing the last three weeks, things are getting a bit dire. However, that doesn’t mean I’m going to stop swinging and take the easy route. No, we’re still chasing max value players. And there probably isn’t a better max value anytime TD bet than Dallas Goedert this week.
This man has been the best TE of the season so far. He already has 5 TDs this year. Under Kevin Patullo at OC, the Eagles' offense has been extremely risk-averse. They’ve gone from one of the most explosive big-play teams to one of the most conservative. They rarely use their WRs to take shots deep. Instead, they’ve been working the ball on the ground and in short passing situations.
Passing situations that Goedert has been excelling in. In the five games he’s played this season, Goedert already has 33 targets and 24 receptions. He’s been Jalen Hurts’ favorite target by far, and against a solid Vikings defense, I don’t expect that to change.
Coming into this game on a two-game losing streak, the Eagles even got a little extra rest before this one, having played in last week’s Thursday game. With the Vikings’ defense ranking in the middle of the pack against tight ends, allowing nearly 250 yards and 3 touchdowns, Goedert should still be a strong red zone threat.
GB at AZ - 4:25 PM EDT
I’m picking Romeo Doubs for an anytime touchdown this week, and at this point, it almost feels automatic. He’s already hauled in 4 TDs through 5 games, which is tied for 7th in the league, and Jordan Love clearly trusts him in the red zone. Sure, Love spreads the ball around, but Doubs doesn’t need a ton of volume to produce either. He’s turned just 28 targets into 18 catches, 234 yards, and 4 touchdowns.
On top of that, Love’s been sharp so far, with 9 touchdowns to just 2 picks. He’s simply spreading the ball around efficiently. But when it’s time to score, he’s looked at Doubs more often than anyone else. Now Green Bay gets a soft Arizona defense that's bottom-tier across the board.
They rank near the bottom in pressure rate, completion percentage allowed, and touchdowns given up. That gives Love time, and when he has time, Doubs undoubtedly eats. At 6’2” with big-play ability and established chemistry with J-Love, he’s got one of the clearest TD paths of any WR playing this week.
NO at CHI - 1:00 PM EDT
I love the RBs who can catch & run in this Ben Johnson offense. Worked well last week. D'Andre Swift is nursing a groin injury, and DJ Moore was hospitalized after the game on Monday. Both statuses for Sunday are unknown at the time of writing this. So, we turn our attention to the rookie 7th round pick, Kyle Monangai.
Monangai has done well with his time on the field, as limited as it has been. If Swift is inactive or limited, Monangai is going to be the "gai" in the backfield against the Saints. If Moore is also limited or out, that takes away another option for the Bears in the backfield and leans even more towards Monangai.
The Saints' run defense is solid, only giving up 3.8 y/a and 4 TDs (Top 10) thus far. However, their pass game is suspect as they've given up the third most touchdowns at 14. Not a ton of yards, though. So, without digging into it (because I just look at stats and trust my Bears gut), they're throwing a lot near the end zone. I'll ride the hybrid pass/run TD option for a while. It works. Let the Chicago Meatballs ROLL!