2025 is off to a good start for our NFL Anytime TD props, as we are sitting at 7-5 for a profit of 6.63 units. Week 2's results were especially lucrative (4-2 for +6.23 units), mainly thanks to Mitch's HUGE winner on Drake Maye at +400. Chris, Ant, and Nobz also posted some winners to help the cause.
Let's find out what Week 3 will hold. Our staff gives out their best Anytime Touchdown props below. Best of luck, folks! Let's get into it!
ATL at CAR - 1:00 PM EST
Your boy Malley is starting off the season with 2 misses. It's ok. It happens, just ask the Chiefs. But I'm back this week with another anytime TD pick. This week, I like Kyle Pitts +300.
Kyle Pitts and the Falcons are in Carolina this week. Here is why I like it. The Panthers enter ranked 30th in defense vs the TE and have struggled to squeeze seams and the middle. Did I use this same logic last week with my McBride Pick? Yes! Does that change the fact that in each of Carolina's games, the opposing TE has been the leading receiver? No!
For anyone worried about Pitts' usage, I am seeing very positive signs these years. Through week 2, Pitts has 11 catches on 13 targets for 96 yards. With a 20% target share, that cements him as a primary read. That steady volume, with his 6’6” frame, puts him on pace for 94 catches, well ahead 43 and 57 receptions he had in each of the last two seasons.
If there is a downside, it is the 0 targets in the red zone this season. But when he was targeted 20% in the red zone last year, I think he is due for some positive regression.
DAL at CHI - 4:25 PM EST
I’m grabbing Jake Ferguson for an anytime touchdown for Week 3 because the value at +220 is simply too good to pass up. If it doesn't make dollars, it doesn't make sense, so I'm focusing on this plus-money gem.
Let's start with the Bears. Their pass defense is a mess as they’ve already allowed a league-high 7 passing TDs and are giving up 230+ yards a game through the air. That’s not just bad, that’s wide-open windows all night.
Sure, Ferguson hasn’t scored yet this season, but he led the Cowboys in targets last week, catching 9 of 12, which tells me Dak trusts him when it counts. Of course, we know he’s sharing looks with Lamb, Williams, and Pickens, but Ferguson’s usage, especially on short-to-mid routes and red-zone snaps, is trending up, and that's what I like to see.
Against a defense as soft as Charmin, all he needs is one trip inside the 10, and you can bet Dak is going to hit him on the numbers. At +220, with that kind of volume and a defense this weak? I’ll take that bet every time, so I'm definitely taking it for my anytime TD pick.
DAL at CHI - 4:25 PM EST
This is definitely a homer play from yours truly, but I'd be shocked if we see Lamb's price at plus money at all the rest of the season. The former Oklahoma star has already caught 16 passes for 222 yards this season.
Strangely enough, Lamb has yet to find the end zone. I think that changes this week against 'Da Bears, whose secondary has been decimated by injuries already this year.
Chicago ranks next to last in yards per pass allowed, and CB Jaylon Johnson is listed as doubtful with a groin injury. To add insult to injury (literally), CB Kyler Gordon did not practice on Wednesday with a sore hammy. Give me CeeDee to hit paydirt!
LV at WSH - 1:00 PM EST
Jamo of my Lions got the job done for me last week, and I'm going to stick with finding another undervalued receiver in Week 3. Jakobi Meyers has already developed quite a rapport with new Raiders QB Geno Smith.
Meyers has earned 22 targets in just two weeks, and I see him getting plenty of looks in this early start time on Sunday. Washington's secondary ranks just 17th in yards per pass allowed.
Smith should be able to toss at least a couple of scores in this one. I'm betting one of them will be to his favorite target, Mr. Meyers.
DEN at LAC - 4:05 PM EST
After some early success with Drake Maye in week 2 and Brian Thomas Jr. in week 1, I’m feeling good about Keenan Allen’s anytime TD line. His return to LA has him looking sharp and has quickly reignited his connection with Herbert. With a touchdown in both games so far, seeing Allen's odds over +200 is surprising. The high number might be because they’re playing the Broncos, and the Chargers have a deep receiving core.
However, with Pat Surtain a bit banged up last week, the secondary could be more vulnerable than usual. Daniel Jones threw for 316 yards against them, so Justin Herbert should have some success, especially since they’re playing at home. The Chargers' passing attack has been in sync so far, which will definitely challenge the Broncos’ secondary.
Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, and even Will Dissly have all been breaking through defenses alongside Allen. Despite having such a talented group of receivers, Allen is still getting over 7 targets per game. As the primary red zone threat, scoring both touchdowns within 12 yards of the goal line, the odds look great that he’ll find the end zone again.
NYJ at TB - 1:00 PM EST
Starting off the season 2-0 is always a great sign for these anytime TD picks. For full transparency, I fully intend to go 18-0 this year. I am proclaiming it. 2-0 is great, but it's just the start. In the wise words of a legend, Mr. Kobe Bryant, "Jobs not Finished".
I am taking Mike Evans this week for my anytime TD. I know, I know, Evans has been seeing fewer touches because of the breakout rookie Emeka Egbuka. However, he's still getting targets and will continue getting more as the season progresses.
Evans knows how to find the endzone, and this week will be the start for him this season. The Jets don't seem to know how to stop people from scoring, so there will be a ton of chances. Let's continue this hot streak!!