The Kansas City Chiefs will look to become the first team in NFL history to win three straight Super Bowls. Patrick Mahomes and Co. will take on Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles in a rematch of Super Bowl LVII, where the Chiefs won a 38-35 thriller. The action gets underway on Sunday, February 9th at 6:30 PM Eastern Time.
Will the Chiefs make history, or will the Eagles get some sweet revenge? We'll answer that question and provide 4 player props for Super Bowl LIX below. Best of luck and thanks for reading our breakdowns all season long!
There's been no movement on the side so far. Most online sportsbooks opened with Kansas City -1.5, where we still sit. Oddly enough, the Chiefs were a 2.5-point underdog to the Eagles in 2023.
The total has already seen a little bit of action. The opening number of 48.5 has since been bet up to 49.5 at almost every shop in the US market. The move makes sense, especially when you consider the efficiency of both offenses.
This number is way too low for a seasoned vet like D-Hop! Sure, his target share and snap counts have dropped since Hollywood Brown came back from injury. However, something tells me Andy Reid will make it a point to get Hopkins more involved on the big stage.
Even with the decrease in playing time, Hopkins's median receiving yardage number was 32.5 this season with Kansas City. The former Clemson star also went over this yardage total in 10 of his 12 games with the Chiefs. Let's play the Over and hope that D-Hop can catch a deep pass early on in Super Bowl LIX.
Let's go from one wily old veteran to another! Juju had a couple of nice catches against Buffalo in the AFC Title Game, but I don't envision that happening in back-to-back games. The former Pittsburgh Steeler is still a decent possession receiver, but he still only caught 18 passes during the regular season.
The emergence of Xavier Worthy and the return of the aforementioned Hollywood Brown could make Smith-Schuster kind of lost in the shuffle. Also, let's not forget about how often Mahomes likes to throw to Travis Kelce in the playoffs. Juju is 11-5 to the Under versus this line this season!
I think Smitty has a big game for Philly in this one. We know Chiefs DC Steve Spagnuolo is going to load up the box to try and limit Saquon Barkley on the ground. That should open up lots of opportunities for Smith on some deep post patterns.
Kansas City has a pretty good secondary, but the All-World Trent McDuffie will probably be matched up with AJ Brown for most of the game. That should mean that Chamarri Conner (57th in coverage according to PFF) will be on Smith. That makes me like this Over even more!
Even with Philly running the ball a ton this season, Smith still racked up 49 receiving yards or more in 10 of his 16 games. He's also gone over in 4 of his last 6 outings. Let's ride!
Gosh, doesn't this number look at least two completions too high? We all know how the Eagles love to lean on Barkley and their massive O-line. They also like to call plenty of designed QB runs with Hurts. I don't see Nick Sirianni and his crew straying from that strategy.
Philly runs the ball 36.3 times per game, which is the most in the league. They only throw the ball 25.9 times per game, which is the lowest in the league. Hurts has stayed under this completions line in 13 of his 18 ball games this season. Give me the Under!
Holy Cow, this is a tough game to predict because we're dealing with two elite teams. Kansas City has the coaching edge with Andy Reid and the better QB in Patrick Mahomes. However, Philly has the better defense and the better running game.
Everyone outside the city of Kansas City has Chiefs fatigue and I'm kind of in that camp myself. Nevertheless, going against Mahomes and Reid is usually a losing proposition in big games. I'm picking KC, but I'll be rooting for Philly!
Final Score Prediction: Chiefs 24 - Eagles 23