TNF is delivering an explosive NFC North showdown between the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers. With both teams riding huge winning streaks and making a push for the postseason, it’s a perfect night to dive into some NFL player props that we believe could bring quite a bit of value.
Here are 5 of the best player props we like for this matchup, with a mix of overs, unders, and even some plus-money plays you won’t want to miss out on.
Player Prop Odds: +125
Jared Goff has been fairly efficient this season, but this matchup against Green Bay’s improving and opportunistic defense could force him into a mistake or two.
The Packers rank top 10 in interceptions this season with Xavier McKinney leading the charge. To top that off, in their last meeting, Goff threw one pick while being pressured consistently.
With Green Bay’s pass rush improving week after week, led by Rashan Gary and Kingsley Enagbare, Goff could be baited into a turnover.
At plus money, we think this is worth the bet. This is especially true since Goff has thrown interceptions in 4 of his last 6 games against top-15 defenses.
Player Prop Odds: +100
Amon-Ra St. Brown has been nothing short of dominant this season. He’s averaging over 7 receptions per game and definitely not slowing down.
He’s a target machine, and Jared Goff will likely lean on him against Green Bay’s secondary, which ranks in the middle of the league against slot receivers.
In their last matchup, St. Brown hauled in a whopping 9 catches on 12 targets. Reeling in 7 catches should be an easy task for the star receiver. With everyone expecting a high-scoring game, getting this at even money feels like a steal for one of the most reliable receivers in the league.
Player Prop Odds: -115
Jordan Love has been showing flashes of potential but has struggled to maintain consistency against strong defenses like the Lions. To his defense, he does have a corps of receivers that are making some pivotal drops, but nonetheless, that still hurts the yardage. He’s also been leaning on Josh Jacobs to run the ball more and more each week.
Detroit’s defense is allowing just 220 passing yards per game, and in their earlier matchup, Love managed a solid 273 yards — but a chunk of that came in garbage time. Could it happen again? Maybe, but we don’t see it playing out like that. Detroit also ranks 3rd in interceptions on the season so that might play a role in the game script the Packers go for.
With Detroit’s ability to control the clock through their ground game, Love may not get enough opportunities to clear this mark. The Lions’ pass rush, even without the likes of Aidan Hutchinson, should also limit Love’s effectiveness downfield.
Player Prop Odds: -110
Jahmyr Gibbs has been electric during the Lions' 10-game win streak. He’s averaging over 80 rushing yards per game in his last 5 contests and we think he’s going to get there again.
Green Bay’s defense has been a bit of a mixed bag against the run, ranking 25th in rushing yards allowed per game. That’s not too good. They’re going to do what they can, but Gibbs might be too much. Gibbs’ explosiveness, coupled with Detroit’s commitment to the ground game, makes this a strong play.
With David Montgomery sharing the workload, we feel that Gibbs will continue to be fresh and is primed for another big night.
Player Prop Odds: +190
Rashan Gary has been a beast for the Packers’ defense and he’s just getting started. He’s already tallied 8.5 sacks so far this season and we think he’ll add to that number.
The Lions’ offensive line is strong but if anything has shown vulnerabilities in recent weeks, it’s the O-line. They’ve shown some cracks, particularly on the edges.
Gary’s ability to win one-on-one matchups against offensive tackles makes him a great candidate to record at least one sack for TNF.
At nearly 2-to-1 odds, this prop not only brings great value, but we think there’s a good chance to hit especially if Detroit’s offense is forced into passing situations late in the game.
What do we love more than Thursday Night Football? Prop bets.
This game is loaded with plenty of betting opportunities and tons of value throughout.
Jared Goff Over 0.5 Interceptions: Plus-money play against an incredibly strong Packers secondary.
Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 6.5 Receptions: The volume is undeniable, and the value is there.
Jordan Love Under 250.5 Passing Yards: Detroit’s defense could make this a grind for Love and keep the Packers on the ground.
Jahmyr Gibbs Over 68.5 Rushing Yards: Gibbs is looking great and Green Bay struggles against the run.
Rashan Gary Over 0.25 Sacks: Gary is Green Bay’s best pass rusher and worth a shot at this number.
Head over to your favorite sportsbook, whether DraftKings, FanDuel, or even Bet365, and start tacking on these props before it’s too late.