It was fantastic performance for our NFL Anytime TD props in Week 11, as we went 5-3 to run our season-long record to 23-28. That means that we're back in the black for the season with a profit of +1.51 units. Can we get an Amen for the power of plus money prices?
Ready to make the NFL Week 12 card even more fun? Our staff gives out their top Anytime Touchdown props! Good luck, sports betting amigos!
AZ at SEA - 4:25 PM EDT
Amen to that brother! Great Week 11 for us and ready to keep it rolling in week 12. So, let's get into it!
McBride is having a stupendous season! In only his third year, he is leading the Cardinals in receiving yards. His 552 yards ranks him 28th in the league (3rd for TEs) and he is nearly on pace for over 1,000+ receiving yards.
He is also on pace for ZERO touchdowns.... wait, what?!?!?!?! That's right. All that usage and zero receiving touchdowns. That gives new meaning to the phrase "Always the bridesmaid and never the McBride." But Trey has seen the end zone once. His lone TD was on a 2-yard direct snap rush in week 9. Otherwise, it's a big ole goose egg on the season.
So, McBride is due for a second half burst. The Cardinals are coming off a bye in week 11. They are in first place in a very tight NFC West, with 4 of their last 7 games against divisional opponents. Big must win games! And it starts this week in Seattle.
McBride's usage in the redzone needs to improve. So, I am banking on the Arizona coaching staff using this off week to scheme up more ways to get McBride the ball around the endzone, like they did in week 9.
PHI at LAR - 8:20 PM EDT
After finally getting my first win of the season, I'm putting my faith in AJ Brown to keep the positive vibes rolling for Team Nobs! The former Ole Miss star has endured an injury-riddled season so far, but he has the juice to terrorize this Rams secondary.
Even though they've played better lately, the Rams still rank just 30th in yards per pass allowed. This means that Jalen Hurts may be able to hook up with Brown on several deep post patterns. Give me AJ at this nice plus-money price!
AZ at SEA - 4:25 PM EDT
Mark Andrews and the entire Ravens offense let me down in a big way last week, but I'm still 4-3 on the year and within striking distance of 1st place. I had my eye on Trey McBride, but Mr. Malley beat me to the proverbial punch on the big tight end.
I like Marvin Jr. quite a bit this week, especially since Arizona will be well-rested coming out of their bye. The former Ohio State standout has also been in great current form, as he's hit paydirt in 2 of his last 3 games.
TB at NYG - 1:00 PM EDT
We are on fire 3 straight weeks of successful anytime TD picks let's keep rolling! I'm taking Rachaad White anytime TD this week +150 on Bet365.
Similar story to the previous pick Giants rushing defense is terrible ranking 29th and allowing 8 rushing TDs this year. I like Rachaad in this spot since he is a dual threat running back.
He has 5 TDs on the year 4 of those through the air and 1 on the ground. He gets plenty of opportunities to score sharing the carries with Bucky Irving.
I think the Buccaneers put a lot of points on the board and that seems to always be a success for our anytime TDs when that happens. This is a great spot here, let's continue the streak!
DAL at WSH - 1:00 PM EDT
Nick Chubb was a colossal letdown last week, I bet him to score 2+ touchdowns, and he failed even to score once. That's not keeping me from going back to the multi-touchdown well this week.
Brian Robinson scored 2 touchdowns on 7 carries against the Browns earlier this season, and I think he's due for another 2-score game here against the Cowboys.
Here are some key stats to keep in mind when betting on Robinson's anytime TD this week:
• The Commanders have run the ball 25 times inside of the 5-yard line this season, second most in the NFL.
• Of those 25 carries, they have scored 12 times, the most in the NFL.
• Dallas's defensive line is giving up 1.55 yards before contact this season, the third-most in the NFL.
• Brian Robinson has 27 red zone carries (7th most in NFL) and 7 touchdowns (7th most in NFL) and he's only played in 8 games.
TB at NYG - 1:00 PM EDT
We hit big last weekend with Marquez Valdes-Scantling, so let's try to hit another big one. Mike Evans is finally returning from a Hamstring injury he suffered against Baltimore a month ago.
Coming out of their bye week, Tampa desperately needs a win. After starting 4-2 on the year, Tampa has fallen like a rock, losing four straight after losing their two best WRs. Unfortunately, Godwin is out for the year, but Evans' return could be the catalyst they need.
It’s hard to say what he’ll look like back on the field. Hamstrings can be challenging to rehabilitate quickly. If he’s right, he’ll again be Baker’s number-one offensive option. With an easy streak on their schedule coming up, Tampa is playing the Giants this weekend.
The Giants have been tight with their passing defense, allowing only 184 yards a game. Placing them 4th in pass defense this year. Regardless, Evans will still be the first guy Baker looks for when they enter the red zone.
If Evans doesn't play this weekend, I also like Bo Nix Anytime TD at +310 on FanDuel against the Raiders!
DAL at WSH - 1:00 PM EDT
I know we are laying some serious juice here on BRob… But there’s a few good reasons why it’s worth it. Dallas run defense is abysmal, especially when it comes to stopping RBs from scoring.
Dallas has given up 18 rushing TD’s this year, worst mark in the league. RB’s run for an average 151 yards per game, the second worst in football.
Robinson has continued to build momentum scoring in 4 of his last 5 games while averaging 14.5 carries per contest. Robinson is a great play this week, even at -145 odds.
DET at IND - 1:00 PM EDT
Josh Downs is my pick for an anytime TD as the Colts take on the dominant Lions in Week 12. Think I'm crazy? Just hear me out. Downs has been one of the most reliable weapons in Indianapolis' offense.
He's compiled at least 60 receiving yards in 7 of his last 8 games and his versatility and ability allow him to always thrive regardless of who’s under center. Recently, he had the team-high of 84 yards and a touchdown against the Jets with Anthony Richardson back in play. He's a consistent scoring threat.
The Lions’ secondary, which is giving up the second-most receiving yards per game to WRs just goes to show what a prime opportunity this is for Downs to continue his hot streak of gobbling up yardage and finding the end zone.
With his knack for finding openings and being a favorite target, I think he's well-positioned to make the most of this favorable matchup and find the end zone yet again — even against a solid Detroit Lions team.