Mims' Monday Night Football Picks: Saints vs Bucs, Tom Brady, Alvin Kamara props, over/under, more

The Monday Night Game has the Tampa Bay Buccaneers against the New Orleans Saints.  The Bucs are favored by 3 and the total is 41. The money line is the Bucs -170 and the Saints +143. The Bucs  are the home team.

Head Coaching Match Up: Bucs Head Coach Todd Bowles over Saints Head Coach Dennis Allen.

The last five: Bucs are 2-3 over their last five and 3-3 at home. Saints are 2-3 over their last 5 and 1-4 on the road.

Prop Bets: Bucs Quarterback Tom Brady under 271.5 passing yards. The price is -139.  Brady has not  thrown for over the projected total in his last two games. In an earlier math up against the Saints, Brady threw for 190 yards. Take Brady under and lay the price.  Alvin Kamara under 48.5 yards. The price is -119. Kamara has not exceeded his projected total in his last 4 games. Take him under.

Consensus: 56% of the money is on the Bucs. The total is 59% under.

The Selection: The Bucs are trying to hold on to the division lead. Saints are 2.5 games behind them. This is a must win game for the Saints to stay in contention. The poor road record does not bode well for them in this spot. The Bucs held the Saints to 10 points in the earlier meeting in New Orleans. Take the Bucs minus the points in this game. The total goes under.

Follow me on Twitter during the second quarter of the game. I will be back on Thursday with my preview of the game between the Los Angeles Rams and  the Las Vegas Raiders . My record on Thursday Night is 24-24 with 15 props bets, 5 ATS (Against the Spread) and 4 totals (over & under).