Now that the GOAT is a Buc is there money to be made?
Tom Brady is a Tampa Bay Buccaneer and while that still sounds as wrong as 2+2=5, there is money to be made by the six-time Super Bowl champ playing for a team that once went winless.
Parx Sportsbook has four different wagers available based on Brady, his new team and his old team. Let’s take a look at all four and throw our 2 cents (or maybe even more) in where we see fit.
Brady’s total passing yards over/under 4,200
In his storied career Brady has thrown for over 4,000 yards 11 times, including eight times in the past nine years. Last year, devoid of weapons for the most part, he threw for 4,057 as a Patriot. Jameis Winston, whose job Brady took, threw for 5,109 yards last year in Tampa Bay’s offense.
Bet: Take the over
Brady’s Total Touchdowns over/under 30 1/2
Way back in 2007 Brady threw for an incredible 50 touchdowns. But in his career he’s topped 30 touchdown passes just seven times and threw for 24 last year. Winston, in this same Bucs throw-all-day offense, managed 33 last season.
Bet: I’m not in love with either side here, but if I have to choose I’m going under.
Brady’s Total Interceptions Over/Under 10 1/2
Brady has thrown double figures in interceptions just four times in the past 13 years and last year, again in probably his worst offensive surrounding, threw just eight. A high total of interceptions for him throughout his career is 13.
Bet: As Brady gets older he’s not getting more careless with the ball. Instead, just the opposite he’s protecting the ball better. I like the under here more than any of the bets.
Who will win more games Tampa Bay (-121) or New England (+100)
I’d like to know who the Patriots quarterback is going to be before making this wager, but I also trust the organization to come up with someone pretty good. So the next step is to check schedules. In the division, New England has a good Buffalo team it’s owned, but that may change. They could also falter to the Jets or much-improved Dolphins once. Outside of the AFC East, the Pats play five 2019 playoff teams — San Francisco and Baltimore at home and Seattle, Kansas City and Houston away.
Tampa Bay has New Orleans to deal with twice, an Atlanta team that’s hard to figure and a rebuilding Carolina. Outside of the NFC South, the Bucs face four 2019 playoff teams, Green Bay, Minnesota, Kansas City and Seattle, all at home. Their toughest road games will come at Dallas, Denver and Las Vegas.
Bet: It’s hard to bet against Brady, but it might be harder to bet against Belichick.