San Francisco quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo threw just eight passes in the NFC Championship Game win against the Packers, so we know his arm is rested.
We’re sure if 49ers’ head coach Kyle Shanahan has his way, Garoppolo won’t throw many more passes than that Sunday, but that is predicated on San Francisco not falling too far behind and being able to pound the ball with their three- or four- or however-many-headed running back committee.
The Chiefs have had it up to here with slow starts this postseason (0-24, 0-10) and they do not want to have to battle back from double-digit deficits again.
So, the Chiefs get the lead and hold it through intermission and the 49ers have to start throwing the ball. Sounds like a plan.
Garoppolo Pass Attempts Over 29.5 (-109) . . . $10 / $9.20
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>>> Tight end Travis Kelce has had two first-quarter catches in four of the Chiefs’ last five games. We are counting on at least two more in the first 15 minutes in Miami, which should be enough for him to eclipse the O/U of 16.5 yards.
Kelce Receiving Yards in First Quarter Over 16.5 (-112) . . . $10 / $9
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>>> As a Chiefs fan, we know Tyreek Hill can strike from anywhere on the field, but Sammy Watkins has KC’s longest reception in both playoff games so far. The 49ers’ longest catch this postseason is 30 yards, which won’t get it done in this Prop.
Longest Reception is by Watkins (+800) . . . $10 / $80
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>>> One of our favorite factions of pro football that does not occur in the college games is the two-minute warning. And now, you can bet on whether it will come right at the 2:00 mark or not.
"Yes" is a huge favorite (-455) for the first half (less so in the second at -335) and there is no fun in that. Let's go for the big money as the second quarter comes to a close.
First-Half Two-Minute Warning not at 2:00 Exactly (+330) . . . $10 / $33