How many first downs will San Francisco 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo be pointing to this Sunday? (AP Photo/Tony Avelar)
How many first downs will San Francisco 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo be pointing to this Sunday? (AP Photo/Tony Avelar)|Associated Press
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Mike Kern's Super Bowl Props Part 1 – The Game: Think how the Chiefs vs Niners will play out and wager accordingly

Mike Kern

Mike Kern

The best part about the Super Bowl? Well of course it’s all the prop bets to keep you occupied. With the Parx SportsBook, you can peruse some 600 of them. Yo, anyone can bet just against the spread. Or the over-under. Me, I like to take my chances with all the exotic stuff. Just because. So here’s a bunch of them that I think you might be interested in. I’d rather bet a lot of things, for smaller amounts, and hope that more than enough of them hit. Or you could be one of those people that might just want to bet the coin toss and be done with it. Whatever works. Again, I’m mostly looking at stuff that offers decent odd to make it worth the risk. So here goes. Feel free to do with them what you will.

A lot obviously depends on what kind of game you think it’s going to be. We will be coming out with our game picks later in the week, but I can tell you right now I’m leaning toward the 49ers. So many of these pops will follow that lean. But not all. Some are just hunch-like stabs.

GAME

If you want to take a chance that it will go into overtime for the second time in four years, you can get back +1,000, although maybe that’s not enticing enough.

I like the one that has the 49ers leading at halftime but the Chiefs winning, at +575. Going the other way would get you +650. Or you could put a buck on it being tied at halftime, which doesn’t happen too often. If the Chiefs go on to win, it would get you +1700. If it’s the Niners it’s +1800. And if it goes into OT, +7500. At those numbers, particularly the last one, you only have to play a buck and hope you get real lucky. And you would know you were going to cash by halftime.

If you think it’s going to be close either way, you could take Kansas City to win by 1-6 points at +350. And take SF at +360. If the game ends between 1-6 you’re going to come out ahead.

You could also take either team to win by exactly 3 at plus +355. Again, it doesn’t have to be for much.

Highest scoring quarter? The first would get you +750, the third +600. They’re that high for a reason. But I’d be willing to give them a shot, particularly the third.

GAME PROPS

For the first scoring play, you can get +400 for a KC field goal, or +450 if the Niners kick one. Bet both and root for a 3-0 start. Doesn’t seem like that much of a stretch.

If you think the team that scores first is going to win, take the Chiefs at +180 or the Niners at +225. Again, seems almost logical, especially in this game over the years.

If you just want to have a little more fun, take either team to have a successful 2-point conversion at +240.

A lead change to occur in the first quarter gets you +325. For the middle two periods it's +175, and +220 for the fourth. Unless you think someone’s going to lead from start to finish you could certainly dabble with this one.

GAME TOUCHDOWN

Total yards of shortest TD, including OT, is 1.5. The over gets you plus 135. I’ll take that chance. Doesn’t get you back a whole lot but everything counts toward the bottom line.

TURNOVERS

If you think there’s going to be more than 2.5 of them, you’ll get +145.

QUARTERS

It seems unlikely that any quarter will end without any points being scored, but just in case you can get +425 if it happens.

COIN TOSS

I’m not a big coin flip guy, but if you want to have even more to pull for you can get +255 for KC to win it and also win the game, and the Niners are +310 if they do it. So if you take both the only way you don’t win is if the coin-toss winner is the end-game loser. So the percentages I believe are at least in your favor.

TEAM SPECIALS

Here’s another one that I think really works. If you bet that neither team will score three times unanswered you will earn +170. In a game that seems this evenly matched that’s a gamble worth taking.

Individual prop be picks are in Part II.

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