New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees (9) gestures after a touchdown by wide receiver Michael Thomas (13), during the second half at an NFL football game against the Carolina Panthers, Sunday, Nov. 24, 2019, in New Orleans.
New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees (9) gestures after a touchdown by wide receiver Michael Thomas (13), during the second half at an NFL football game against the Carolina Panthers, Sunday, Nov. 24, 2019, in New Orleans.|Butch Dill | Associated Press
NFL

Monday Night Football: Mims picks Colts vs Saints and likes a Drew Brees prop bet

Robert Mims

Robert Mims

These are my key factors for the game between the Indianapolis Colts and the New Orleans Saints:

  • Colts are 6-7 and Saints are 10-3.

  • The Saints have clinched the NFC South and are playing to improve their playoff seed.

  • The Colts have faded after a promising start and have a 2% chance of making the playoffs.

  • The Saints are coming in after losing 48-46 to the 49ers.

  • The Colts lost to the Bucs 38-35.

  • The Saints are the favorite at -9.0.

  • The over/under total is 46.5.

  • The money line is Saints -430 and Colts +330.

  • The Saints are the home team.

Drew Brees is playing extremely well. He has 12 TDs and 1 interception in his last 4 games. Jacoby Brissett is playing at a mediocre level over the last 4 games. He has 4 TDs and 3 interception during that period.

The prop bet that will make this game interesting is the total passing touchdowns of Drew Brees. His total is listed at 1.5. The price is -200 for over and +150 for under. I project that he goes over. Brees usually plays well in prime time.

I have a lean toward the over. The Saints are explosive and average 26.5 a game. While the Colts have trouble scoring above 20 points, the Saints defense is banged up. They score over 20 tonight. I am 18-9 in my selections on NFL Monday and Thursday.

Follow me on Twitter. Use the #GTLivechat and I will follow you back. See you Friday and I will make selections for the Saturday tripleheader slate on the NFL Network.

WANNA BET THE NFL?

In New Jersey: PointsBet.com, Promo code: BETTORS (You can get two risk-free bets up to $1,000 if you qualify.) William Hill NJ (Deposit $50, get $50 cash) SugarHouse NJ* (First deposit match up to $250)

In Pennsylvania: Rivers Casino PA* (First deposit match up to $250). Only 1x Wager Applies, Playable in PA Only

In most of Europe: William Hill UK; Pinnacle (No UK or Portugal); Asian Odds (No UK or Portugal)

In Asia: Pinnacle/Asian Odds

In parts of South America: Pinnacle/Asian Odds

In parts of Africa: Pinnacle/Asian Odds

*Note: First Deposit Bonus may only be claimed once per person across all Rivers and SugarHouse websites

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER

Bettors Insider
www.bettorsinsider.com