These are my key factors for the game between the Indianapolis Colts and the New Orleans Saints:
Colts are 6-7 and Saints are 10-3.
The Saints have clinched the NFC South and are playing to improve their playoff seed.
The Colts have faded after a promising start and have a 2% chance of making the playoffs.
The Saints are coming in after losing 48-46 to the 49ers.
The Colts lost to the Bucs 38-35.
The Saints are the favorite at -9.0.
The over/under total is 46.5.
The money line is Saints -430 and Colts +330.
The Saints are the home team.
Drew Brees is playing extremely well. He has 12 TDs and 1 interception in his last 4 games. Jacoby Brissett is playing at a mediocre level over the last 4 games. He has 4 TDs and 3 interception during that period.
The prop bet that will make this game interesting is the total passing touchdowns of Drew Brees. His total is listed at 1.5. The price is -200 for over and +150 for under. I project that he goes over. Brees usually plays well in prime time.
I have a lean toward the over. The Saints are explosive and average 26.5 a game. While the Colts have trouble scoring above 20 points, the Saints defense is banged up. They score over 20 tonight. I am 18-9 in my selections on NFL Monday and Thursday.
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