Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) throws a pass under pressure from Buffalo Bills defensive end Jerry Hughes (55) in the second half of an NFL football game in Arlington, Texas, Thursday, Nov. 28, 2019.
Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) throws a pass under pressure from Buffalo Bills defensive end Jerry Hughes (55) in the second half of an NFL football game in Arlington, Texas, Thursday, Nov. 28, 2019.|Ron Jenkins | Associated Press
NFL

Thursday Night Football: Mims picks Cowboys vs Bears and likes a Dak Prescott prop pick

Robert Mims

Robert Mims

These are my key factors for the game between Dallas and Chicago:

  • The Cowboys and Bears are 6-6.

  • The Cowboys just lost at home to the Bills by a score of 26-15.

  • The Bears defeated the Lions on Thanksgiving 24-20.

  • The Cowboys are the favorite at -3.

  • The over/under total is 43.

  • The money line is Cowboys -148 and Bears +130.

  • The Bears are the home team.

Both teams are having seasons that are under expectations. Dallas has the top ranked offense in the NFL. The Bears are ranked 26th. Cowboys are ranked 7th in defense while the Bears are 8th. The Bears are not as dominant as they were last year. In 2018 the Bears led the league with 36 take aways. This year they are ranked 15th.

The prop bets that will make things interesting involves the passing yardage of Dak Prescott. Prescott prop bet for yards in this contest is set at 274 and the price is -112. The under is the play. Mitchell Trubisky passing yards are set at 235. Look for him to go under his projected total.

I have a lean toward the under. The trend of low scoring on TNF continues. I always advocate going with the trends until you see a shift. With two top 10 defenses, scoring should be minimal. I am 16-8 in my selections on NFL Monday and Thursday. I have hit my last 5 leans.

Follow me on Twitter. Use the #GTLivechat and I will follow you back.

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