WEEK 9 RECORD: 1-3
The Degenerate’s picks have gone to the dogs in recent weeks, so the only antidote is ... go back to the ‘dogs:
WEEK 10 (picks in CAPS)
ARIZONA +4½ at Tampa Bay
Starting to like Kyler Murray more and more, also the fact that Cards never seem to take their foot off the gas on offense. ‘Zona’s sub-20 point games came against Baltimore, Seattle and New Orleans, all strong defenses. In other 6 games they’ve averaged 26 ppg, and should rack them up here against Bucs team that allows points in bushels. Cards are on 4-1 ATS run while Tampa Bay has covered 1 of last 6.
Baltimore -10½ at CINCINNATI
Never let it be said that The Degenerate isn’t loyal, and the Bengals have cashed for me 3 out of 4 times this season so I’m backing them again. AND YES I KNOW THEY’RE STARTING A BACKUP QB. Ravens coming off a high with last week’s domination of Patriots, and have big tilts looming vs. Texans and Rams in next two weeks. I don’t see them lighting it up for the third straight week against division foe that has kept 7 of 8 opponents in the 20s. Ravens are 3-4-1 ATS this season but 0-3 as fave of 7 or more.
MIAMI +10½ at Indianapolis
This line dropped several points with Jacoby Brissett’s status up in the air. But even at this price I like the ‘Fins, who are on 4-0 ATS run and showing signs of life. Colts' wins have been by 2, 3, 6, 7 and 2 points, and they needed late Adam Vinatieri 51-yarder to beat offense-challenged Denver laying 6 at home two weeks ago. They don’t strike me as a team that can turn it on at will, so hunch is Fitzmagic keeps Dolphs under number.
CAROLINA +5 at Green Bay
Packers’ offense was probably due for a correction last week vs. Chargers after averaging 32 ppg in previous 4. Can they turn it around here? Panthers are 5-1 SU and ATS in last 6, with the outlier being 51-13 crusher at SF. Streak has included shootout wins vs. Jacksonville and Tampa Bay and holding Texans to 10 points, showing Carolina can handle both types of games.
SEATTLE +6 at San Francisco
In division battle of 8-0 vs. 7-2 teams, generous line is tip of hat to Niners’ undefeated record and penchant for blowouts (Bengals, Browns, Panthers). But San Francisco is 0-3 ATS as favorite of 6 points or more and couldn’t pull away from Cardinals last time out as 10-point chalk. Russell Wilson and Seahawks are perfect in last 6 as road ‘dog and have owned Niners in recent years (10-0 before 26-23 OT loss in December).
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