Thursday Night Football: Mims shares his thoughts on Giants vs Patriots including a Julian Edelman prop bet
These are my key thoughts and numbers for the game:
The Patriots are the home team.
New England has a record of 4-0.
The Giants are 2-3.
The Patriots are favored by 16.5.
The over/under is 41.5.
The money line is Pats -1100 and Giants +770.
The weather may play a factor because rain and high wind gusts are forecast this evening.
Patriots are coming off a convincing win against the Skins. The Giants suffered a loss at home to the Vikings 28-10. New England is the best team in football right now. The defense is playing outstanding and has allowed a 44.0 passer rating to opposing QBs. Opponents would have a 39.6 rating if every pass they threw was incomplete. Daniel Jones has shown flashes of why he was drafted in the 1st round. Rookie QBs are 0-11 against Bill Belichick in Foxboro. Jones has not been impressive in his last two games. No Saquon Barkley does not help chances. Tom Brady is still the GOAT and playing like it at 42.
Prop bets to look at:
The prop bet that interest me involves Daniel Jones. His pass completions are set at 20.5. The price for -112. I see the under as the play.
If you want a prop that features a receiver than I’d look at Julian Edelman total receptions. The total is set at 5.5. The price is over at -155 and under +116. Edelman has exceeded 5 reception in 60% of the games so far. That percentage increases tonight.
My lean on the game is the Patriots -16.5.
The short work week and injuries puts the Giants to sleep early. Tell me what side you are going with for the game on Twitter. Use the #GTLivechat and I will follow you back.
So far, I am 6-3 with my leans on MNF and TNF.
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