Thursday Night Football: Mims picks Eagles vs Packers
Green Bay Packers outside linebacker Preston Smith celebrates after the Denver Broncos turned over the ball on downs near the end of the second half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 22, 2019, in Green Bay, Wis.Mike Roemer | Associated Press

Thursday Night Football: Mims picks Eagles vs Packers

These are my key thoughts and numbers for the game:

The Packers are favored by 4.

The over/under is 46.5.

The money line is Packers -194 and Eagles +166.

The game opened at 3 with the over/under at 48.

Green Bay has a record of 3-0. The Eagles are 1-2.

The Packers are the home team.

Philly is coming off a lost to Detroit at home. The Packers are entering their 2nd straight home game after controlling the Broncos. Injuries and turnovers have plagued the Eagles so far. Several ill-timed drops by the wide receivers have not helped either. The Packers offense is not clicking on all cylinders but have improved every week. The defense is playing outstanding and leads the NFL with 8 takeaways.

The prop bet that interest me involves Aaron Rodgers. His pass completions are set at 21.5. The price for over is -126 while the under is set at -102. I see the over as the play. If you can find a prop that the Eagles turn the ball over more than twice then that should get consideration.

My lean on the game is the Packers money line. The short work week and lack of continuity does the Birds in. They may stay close, but Rodgers will finally play a complete game on offense. They have not scored over 30 yet. This may be the week. Tell me what side you are going with for the game on Twitter. Use the #GTLivechat and I will follow you back.

So far, I am 3-2 with my leans on MNF and TNF.


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