In case you missed Monday’s installment of our Super Bowl Props Homework, we already have long-shots Cordarrelle Patterson and James Develin down for wagers on which player will score the first touchdown Sunday, based on their performances earlier this season.
But we also wanted to take a dive into that Prop historically, and we were able to do so back to the 1988 game:
For a Prop that usually lists dozens of players and varying odds, we were amazed at how often the first touchdown in a Super Bowl was scored by a player listed at 10-1 or 12-1. (Obviously, odds can vary widely by establishment.)
At least by the numbers we found, five of the last 10 and eight of the last 16 Super Bowls yielded a first TD scorer at either of those odds. Another three of those last 16 had a First TDer with double-digit odds (15-1, 25-1, 18-1).
We checked three places and since Patriots RB James White was the only player listed at 10-1 on all three, we are adding him to our list.
Pick: First TD James White ($5/+1000)