Welcome to Week 7 of the college football season, sports betting friends. As it usually does, the year is going by way too fast, but there's plenty of good action left out there for us.
I've found some nice edges on Saturday night's Georgia vs. Auburn game, which kicks off at 7:30 Eastern Time on ABC. I've broken down all aspects of this matchup and came up with an early best bet to hopefully help build your bankroll.
Good luck and enjoy the action! This should be an exciting SEC showdown on the Plains. Let's get into it!
Online sportsbooks opened this line at Georgia -6.5 on the look-ahead line in the summer, mainly because they didn't know what to make of this Auburn squad. Surprisingly, the current number is now Georgia -3.5, which is kind of a shock since the Tigers have two losses already.
As for the game total, there's been a strong move for the Under so far. The line opened at 50.5, and almost every sportsbook in the US is now offering 46.5. That's quite a slide downward, but it's understandable with these two very stingy defenses.
Georgia lost a heartbreaker to Alabama a couple of weeks ago, but they bounced back with a dominant home win over Kentucky last Saturday. The Bulldogs out-yarded the Wildcats 428 to 270. UGA held Kentucky to just 2 yards per carry on the ground.
Gunnar Stockton has done a fabulous job so far this season, especially since he's still getting used to the speed of college football. The UGA QB has thrown for 6 TDs and run for another 5 more. Auburn may have to consider putting a spy on Stockton, especially if OC Mike Bobo gets him outside of the pocket often.
Georgia's defense has been excellent at stopping the run, but it's been more than a bit suspect against the pass. The key question is whether or not Auburn can take advantage of a secondary that doesn't look as sharp as in years past.
Auburn is coming off back-to-back tough losses, but we can't really downgrade them too much for dropping road games to Oklahoma and Texas A&M. The Tigers kind of got a raw deal against the Sooners, and although the offense struggled against A&M, they still covered the point spread.
QB Jackson Arnold leads an offense that ranks just 100th in yards per play, but a big reason for that low rating is that the Tigers have played the 7th toughest schedule in the country. Nevertheless, this squad has to find ways to get Cam Coleman (17 receptions, 255 yards, 2 TDs) more touches.
Hate laying this bit of juice but think it's a better deal since the rest of the market is basically +3.5 at -115 or so. This is a remarkable spot for Auburn, and I think they at least keep this one to within a field goal at home down on the plains. Auburn has a history of pulling some big upsets at Jordan-Hare, and this has the potential to be another one.
The Tigers are coming off a bye week, and I'm betting that Hugh Freeze will scheme up a solid game plan against Georgia after suffering back-to-back losses to Oklahoma and A&M, respectively. The Bulldogs had their bye a couple of weeks ago, but their defense still has lots of issues.
I also think this Auburn defense matches up pretty well against Georgia. The Tigers rank 8th in yards per rush allowed, so Nate Frazier and Co. could have a rough time finding holes. Lastly, Auburn also ranks 7th in sack rate, so Gunnar Stockton could be running for his life a lot. Give me the points with Aubie, and I'm sprinkling a little something on the moneyline.
Prediction: Auburn 24 - Georgia 23