Happy Hump Day, sports betting compadres! Tuesday was a so-so night for us on the college hardwood, as our player props went 1-1 to run our record to 47-41 on the season. That brings our overall profit down to -0.19 units.
Freshman phenom Dylan Harper of Rutgers sent us into a tailspin by getting into foul trouble early against Purdue on the road. The dynamic guard scored just 13 points in a losing effort for the Scarlet Knights. That was nowhere near enough for us to cash our Over ticket.
Thankfully, Purdue journeyman Fletcher Loyer got us to the cash-out window, as he finished with 23 points to bring us close to even for the night. Look for the Boilermakers to rely more on Loyer in the Big Ten tourney and beyond.
It's been a disappointing few weeks here lately, but I have hope that we'll get hot again really soon. I've dusted off my rebounding prediction model, so hopefully that'll give us a much-needed spark. Have a wonderful Wednesday, my friends!
Maryland at Michigan: 6:30 PM EST (Big Ten)
Wolf is Michigan's best rebounder, and I expect him to be very active tonight on the glass against a tough Maryland squad. The veteran center has a median rebounding number of 10, so I was quite a bit surprised at the adjustment downward from the sportsbooks.
The Terps do rebound the ball pretty well with Derik Queen and Julian Reese, but I don't expect them to limit Wolf too much tonight in this game. Michigan ranks 33rd in rebounding and Maryland ranks 65th, so there should be a definite edge for Wolf on the glass.
Lastly, I love that Wolf is averaging 9.7 rebounds per contest this season. Check out some other positive trends for the Over below!
Wolf is 20-9 to the Over vs. this line in '24-25.
Wolf has gone Over this total in 7 of his last 10 outings.
Wolf has gone Over this line in 12 of his 15 home games this year.
Florida at Alabama: 7:00 PM EST (ESPN2)
This should be a fun matchup to watch, as we get a dynamic offense (Alabama) taking on a stingy defense (Florida). Alabama loves to shoot threes and play at a frenetic pace, but Florida ranks 6th in 3-point defense and 12th in defensive efficiency. That should mean very few open looks for Youngblood tonight at home.
Youngblood has been shooting more often of late, but should the sportsbooks have adjusted this line by this much? His median point total this season is just 8.5, so you can see why I'm questioning the number.
I think Youngblood is a solid player, but Mark Sears is the straw that stirs the drink for the Crimson Tide. I look for a big game from Sears and a rather quiet evening from Youngblood.
Youngblood is 14-6 to the Under vs. this line in '24-25.
Youngblood has gone Under this line in 4 of his last 6.
Youngblood is 8-3 to the Under vs. this line in home games.
Clemson at Boston College: 7:00 PM EST (ESPNU)
Let's wrap up the Wednesday card with another rebounding prop. Hand may be a guard, but he crashes the boards incredibly well. The 6'5" sophomore leads Boston College in rebounds, as he averages 6.2 per game. I'll sign up for this plus money shot with those impressive numbers.
Betting on a guard to do damage on the glass can be risky, but it's not like Clemson is an elite rebounding team. The Tigers rank just 154th in rebounds per game, so Hand could reach the 5-board mark with relative ease.
My only concern is that BC is a massive underdog, so Hand could be on the bench resting in the final minutes of a blowout. Nevertheless, I still like this plus money Over quite a bit. Good luck tonight, folks!
Hand is 22-7 to the Over vs. this line in '24-25.
Hand has gone Over this total in 7 of his last 10 outings.
Hand has gone Over this line in 13 of his 16 home games this year.