Welcome to Big Monday, sports betting friends! Friday was a solid night for us on the college hardwood, as our player props went 1-0 to run our record to 45-39 on the season. That brings our overall profit up to +0.52 units.
Tyler Bilodeau of UCLA sent us into the weekend with an easy winner, as he ended up with 15 points against Purdue on the road. The dynamic forward shot 53.8% from the field in a losing effort for the Bruins. UCLA could be a dangerous team to deal with come tournament time.
After an up and down February that saw us run red-hot for the first two weeks and ice-cold for the last two, I'm excited to begin a new month. Let's build on the positive momentum from Friday. Enjoy March Madness, folks!
Wake at Duke: 7:00 PM EST (ESPN)
This one is a bit scary because of Duke's suffocating defense. That being said, I don't mind investing in a talented scorer like Sallis. The 6'5" guard takes around 15 shots per game and should get plenty of volume with Wake Forest being over a 20-point underdog in this one.
As always, I love targeting spots where the player's median point total differs from the line offered by the sportsbooks. This lines up perfectly, as Sallis has a median point total of 19 this season. That 2.5-point difference gives us an implied value of around 13%.
Lastly, I love that Sallis gets to the free throw line quite often. He usually makes at least 4 shots from the charity stripe per game, which should help our case for the Over. Check out some other positive trends for the Over below!
Sallis is 18-11 to the Over vs. this line in '24-25.
Sallis has gone Over this total in 6 of his last 7 outings.
Sallis has gone Over this line in 10 of his 14 road or neutral-court games this year.
Kansas at Houston: 9:00 PM EST (ESPN)
This one is a little bit juicier than I would like, but there's more than enough value to pull the trigger on this Under. Houston's defense gets all of the praise in the Big 12, and rightfully so. However, Kansas has a pretty stout defense in its own right and I think they'll give a maximum effort here on the road.
The matchup favors the Under by a wide margin. Uzan is a gifted three-point shooter for the Cougars, but the Jayhawks rank a very respectable 13th in three-point defense. KU also ranks 7th in opponent shooting efficiency, so I don't expect a ton of open looks for Uzan in this one.
Even though Uzan is having a tremendous season, his point total median is just 10. That's the type of solid value I can get behind. Let's wrap up the Monday card with a nice Under. Best of luck today, my friends!
Uzan is 21-8 to the Under vs. this line in '24-25.
Uzan has gone Under this line in 4 of his last 7.
Uzan is 11-5 to the Under vs. this line in home games.