Happy Tuesday, fellow sports bettors! Monday was awful for us on the college hardwood, as our player props went 1-2 to run our record to 17-18 on the young season. To pour some salt into the open wound, both of our losses were by the freaking hook!
I still don't know how Iowa's Owen Freeman didn't score Over 14.5 points. He had 11 at the half but missed way too many free throws to burn us. Joshua Jefferson of Iowa State made matters worse by hitting a free throw with 3 seconds left to make that bet a loser as well.
Thankfully, our under on Vladislav Goldin of Michigan was a sweat-free Under to keep us from the dreadful golden sombrero. There are lots of close losses by the hook when betting player props, so you have to be mentally strong and just keep firing away. Let's get into today's plays!
UK at TEN: 7:00 PM EST (ESPN)
I paid the extra juice for 17.5 but you can play 16.5 at FanDuel for -105 if you so desire. Yes, I know that Oweh is Kentucky's top scorer, but Tennessee's defense is as stingy as they come, especially at home.
Just how good is this Vols defense? They rank 2nd in the nation in both points allowed and defensive efficiency. They also lead the country in three-point defense. Needless to say, this is a tough matchup for Oweh.
Both the yearly and current form metrics also point to an Under! Oweh has stayed under this total in 13 of his 19 ball games this season. He's also stayed under this line in 5 of his last 7 outings.
Oweh will probably play well tonight on the road, but I think he finishes in the 13-15 points range. Let's hold our breath and play another Under!
WAKE at LVILLE: 7:00 PM EST (ACC)
Mikey Nobs, have you lost your ever-loving mind again? It's quite possible, especially since I keep playing star players to stay Under their point totals. Even still, there is a ton of mathematical value on Hepburn's under tonight.
Hepburn, a 6'2" senior from Omaha, has stayed under 15.5 points in 12 of his 20 ball games during the '24-'25 campaign. He's also stayed under in 5 of his last 6 outings and is 8-3 to the Under in home games.
Those are some solid numbers, but the main reason I like this Under is the matchup. Like the aforementioned Tennessee, Wake Forest plays stingy defense on a nightly basis.
The Demon Deacons rank a respectable 26th in defensive efficiency and 33rd in points allowed. Hepburn will have a decent game, but I have him topping out at 14 points in this one.