O'Sullivan's NBA Game 7 Celtics vs Heat Pick: Can Jimmy Butler do it again? Will Jayson Tatum thwart him?
Follow my picks on Twitter: @OSullyPicks
Seattle O’Sullivan 2021-2022 NBA Season so far: 231-246-7, -$751.89
(Friday: 1-0, +$10.00)
NBA Playoffs so far: 30-23, +$80.55
(Standing Caveat: The universe is chaotic. Life is unpredictable. Things happen. Like injuries. And COVID protocols. In following Seattle O’Sullivan’s betting advice, be advised that you should always monitor your bets during the day to make certain unforeseen things have not occurred which might change your wagering opinion. Thank you.)
Boston Celtics at Miami Heat, 8:30 pm Eastern
The Pick: over 195.5 points (-110), bet $11 to win $10
Game 7. Exciting, full of drama. Hard to predict. So I’ll avoid picking a straight winner. I’ve had pretty good success with the over/under in this series, so I’ll stick with it here. I’ll take the over, a number which I think is overly anticipating a rock fight due to the nerves of a deciding game. It’s a reasonable theory, but I think the number’s just too low. Just two games in the previous six have gone under 195.5, and they were both blowouts. Tonight will not be a blowout. It may be defensive, but these teams know each other by now and I expect a tight game from the tip. Don’t forget about overtime – would anyone be surprised if 48 minutes isn’t enough tonight? Miami’s Jimmy Butler had an otherworldly game on Friday, Celtic Jayson Tatum has had very good games but no transcendent game – yet. I know that overs are tricky because the books rely on bettors subconsciously wanting to root for points. I’ve factored that in. I honestly believe overtime is in play here. Rooting for scoring, and a great game, is just a bonus.
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