O'Sully's Monday NBA Picks: Heat v Wizards, Raptors v Hornets, Warriors v Thunder, Suns v Bulls, Knicks v Jazz
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Seattle O’Sullivan 2021-2022 NBA Season so far: 130-158-4, -$409.45
(Standing Caveat: The universe is chaotic. Life is unpredictable. Things happen. Like injuries. And COVID protocols. In following Seattle O’Sullivan’s betting advice, be advised that you should always monitor your bets during the day to make certain unforeseen things have not occurred which might change your wagering opinion. Thank you.)
Miami Heat at Washington Wizards, 7 pm Eastern
The Pick: Miami -6 (-110), bet $22 to win $20
On the one hand, Miami has been on the road since last Monday, and tonight’s game against Washington is the fifth game of a six-game trip. On the other hand, Washington stinks. The Heat have won two in a row, while the Wizards are 2-8 in their last 10 games (2-8 against the spread). The Wizards are 1-6 at home in their last seven (1-6 ATS), so it’s not like home-court advantage means that much right now. Washington’s best player, Bradley Beal, is out with a wrist injury and the focus of all the swirling Ben Simmons trade talk. The Wizards are reeling. Jimmy Butler and the Heat take care of business.
Toronto Raptors at Charlotte Hornets, 7 pm Eastern
The Pick: Charlotte +2 (-108), bet $21.51 to win $20
Toronto’s won five straight but three of them were at home. I’m not disputing the Raptors are on a roll. The Hornets have dropped four in a row, but three of those losses were to Eastern Conference playoff teams. I still like Charlotte getting points at home. In their last matchup, Toronto beat the Hornets 125-113 but again, that was in Toronto. The Hornets lead the league in scoring average, pouring in 113.6 points per game. Charlotte is 31-23 against the spread, including 15-9 ATS at home. The Raptors are on the rise but tonight kicks off almost a week on the road. They’ll start off slow, and the home dog takes advantage.
Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder, 8 pm Eastern
The Pick: Golden State -12.5 (-108), bet $16.13 to win $15
Golden State is on fire right now, winners of eight in a row. The last time they played Oklahoma City back on Oct. 30, the Warriors pasted the Thunder 103-82, holding them to 38 points in the second half and 35.8% shooting overall. Oklahoma City lost on Saturday but had won three in a row before that. They’re a little frisky but that only tells me that Golden State isn’t gonna fool around tonight. The Warriors are 2.5 games behind Phoenix for the top seed in the Western Conference, and they will need every game to get that seed. Again, they’re not gonna fool around tonight.
Phoenix Suns at Chicago Bulls, 8 pm Eastern
The Pick: Chicago +8 (-110), bet $22 to win $20
Getting eight points instead of 7.5 pushes me into the “home dog” camp here. Chicago has injury issues to be sure, but are still 19-7 at home and 30-22-1 against the spread this year (17-9 ATS). The Bulls have been fighting even while depleted, winning five of their last eight, and two of those losses were to either a contender (Philadelphia) or in overtime (Toronto). I see the Suns winning tonight but Chicago keeping it close.
New York Knicks at Utah Jazz, 9 pm Eastern
The Pick: Utah -7 (-112), bet $14 to win $12.50
Utah is getting a little well back at home after losing two in a row on the road. The Jazz are getting used to playing without center Rudy Gobert. New York lost an overtime game to the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday, which means two things: fatigue after an overtime game, and fatigue after spending Saturday night in Los Angeles. Utah has been up-and-down this season and now find themselves fighting for a fourth seed. If they lose that, they don’t get even one round of home court in the playoffs. They need this game. They’ll get this game.