O'Sullivan likes Jimmy Butler's negativity toward the Timberwolves.
O'Sullivan likes Jimmy Butler's negativity toward the Timberwolves.@MiamiHEAT on Twitter

O'Sullivan's Wednesday NBA Picks: Raptors at Grizzlies, Heat at Timberwolves, Mason Plumlee prop

Toronto Raptors at Memphis Grizzlies, 8 pm Eastern, Miami Heat at Minnesota Timberwolves, 8 pm.

Seattle O’Sullivan 2021-2022 NBA Season so far: 69-78-2, -$194.67

(Standing Caveat: The universe is chaotic. Life is unpredictable. Things happen. Like injuries. In following Seattle O’Sullivan’s betting advice, be advised that you should always monitor your bets during the day to make certain unforeseen things have not occurred which might change your wagering opinion. Thank you.)

Toronto Raptors at Memphis Grizzlies, 8 pm Eastern

The Pick: Memphis -143, bet $8 to win $5.60; Memphis -3 (-112), bet $3 to win $2.70

Memphis has won three of their last four, including two quality wins over the Los Angeles Clippers and at Utah. The Grizzlies are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games at home and 10-7 ATS overall. Toronto’s dropped seven of their last nine games and is still struggling to find its identity without Kyle Lowry. I continue to believe Memphis star Ja Morant and his squad are on the rise, and a game on Thanksgiving Eve is a good time for them to make a statement in their own gym. Moneyline for dinner, lay the three points for dessert.

Miami Heat at Minnesota Timberwolves, 8 pm Eastern

The Pick: Miami +1.5 (-110), bet $8 to win $7.27; Miami +102, bet $4 to win $4.08

Normally I would be wary of Miami here, playing the second game of a road/road back-to-back. But I’m still taking Miami for two reasons: if last night’s game against Detroit had gone another thirty seconds, the Heat would’ve covered (much to my irritation), and Jimmy Butler’s antipathy for Minnesota should not be underestimated. Butler misbehaved in forcing his way off the Timberwolves, this is true. But I’m not above overlooking what I consider to be selfishness if it’s part of a vindictive competitive spirit that will help my bankroll. I think Butler has a great game tonight and carries the Heat to another victory on the road.

Player Prop Parlay: Mason Plumlee over 6.5 points/over 7.5 rebounds/2+ assists, +256, bet $2.50 to win $6.40

Going back to the “Plumlee Well.” His Charlotte Hornets face the downtrodden Orlando Magic, and I expect the Hornets to win and for Mason to have an average game which gives us a little value.

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