Saturday NBA prop picks: Fats (4-1 Friday) likes Chris Paul, Nerlens Noel, Royce O'Neale the Knicks and Jazz
Utah Jazz center Rudy Gobert flexes his muscles as the Jazz have been flexing theirs. Associated Press Photo/Rick Bowmer

Saturday NBA prop picks: Fats (4-1 Friday) likes Chris Paul, Nerlens Noel, Royce O'Neale the Knicks and Jazz

76ers at SUNS 3:05 pm EST, Rockets at KNICKS 8:05 pm, Heat at SUNS 9:05 pm.

4-1 last night with a nice +255 Trail Blazers parlay win, put me back in the black.

Saturday picks

The Rockets have been struggling since Christian Wood got hurt and tonight against the Knicks they'll also be without Victor Oladipo and maybe PJ Tucker. The Knicks will be without Mitchell Robinson so Nerlens Noel moves up. The Knicks played last night in D.C., but no one played too much in an 18-point win. The Rockets have been on a home/away shuttle. John Wall, Eric Gordon and DeMarcus Cousins could go off, but the Knicks have been playing consistently hard and this seems like a good spot for them.

In three of the 5 games in which he's played 20 or more minutes, Noel has scored 6 or more points. He should play 20+ minutes today and I like him over 5.5.

Chris Paul is averaging over 8 assists per game for the Suns. Anytime I can get a guy to merely do what he does at a + wager, I have to consider it.

Here's what's scary about the Jazz: Last night, Donovan Mitchell, Bojan Bogdanovic and Royce O'Neale shot 9-34 from the field, including 2-17 from three, and they still put up 129 and beat the Bucks by 14. The Heat have won four straight, but those wins came against the Wizards, Knicks and depleted Rockets. The Jazz are due for a clunker but I hope it's not tonight. Also, looking for O'Neale to rebound from making 0 threes.

All wagers and returns based on $10. Please check game time lineups before wagering.

76ers at SUNS 3:05 pm EST, Rockets at KNICKS 8:05 pm, Heat at SUNS 9:05 pm.

3-pointers: Knicks -.5 over Rockets and over 213 +260 (returns $36.00)

Jazz -6 over Heat and over 215 +255 (returns $35.0)

2-pointers: Chris Paul (Suns) Over 7.5 assists +103 (returns $20.30)

Free throws: Royce O'Neale (Jazz) Over 1.5 made threes -106 (returns $19.50)

Steals: Nerlens Noel (Knicks) over 5.5 points -115 (returns $18.70)

Friday Results

Winners:

3-pointers: Trail Blazers -3.5 over Cavaliers and over 223.5 +255 (returns $35.50) The Blazers crushed the Cavs 129-110.

2-pointers: Mitchell Robinson (Knicks) Over 8.5 points +100 (returns $20.00) Robinson had 10 points and 14 boards in 19 minutes before fracturing his hand.

Free throws: Hornets -3.5 over Timberwolves -112 (returns $19.00) It was a nail-biter but the Hornets won 120-114.

Steals: Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) double-double -200 (returns $15.00) Jokic went 22-13-9.


Losers:

Free throws: Nuggets vs Thunder over 222.5 -109 (returns $19.20) Totally missed this as the Nuggets won 97-95, missing the total by 31 points.


Canceled:

0


$50 wagered (4-1), $89.50 returned.

Day 48: +$39.50

Total: +$6.05 (105-120 off 225 $10 wagers)

The Moneyline Experiment

Saturday's moneyline contests:

SUNS -106 over Sixers returns $19.60

Pacers -121 over HAWKS returns $18.30

Rockets -121 over KNICKS returns $19.20

Nets -180 over WARRIORS returns $16.00

Jazz -250 over HEAT returns $14.00

On Friday the moneyline went 8-3. Two of the losses were the heavily favored Celtics and Kings, the 2nd and 3rd biggest favorites of the day.

Day 2: 8-3. Bet $110. Returned $122.20.

Total: 12-5 +$26.40

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