Fats Baller's Friday NBA Prop bets: Mitchell Robinson, Nikola Jokic, the Hornets and two game overs
Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic, right, looks to pass the ball vs. Minnesota Timberwolves forward Jarred Vanderbilt. Associated Press Photo/David Zalubowski

Fats Baller's Friday NBA Prop bets: Mitchell Robinson, Nikola Jokic, the Hornets and two game overs

Knicks at WIZARDS 7:05 pm EST, Timberwolves at HORNETS 7:05 pm, Thunder at NUGGETS 9:05 pm, Cavaliers at TRAIL BLAZERS 10:05 pm

When things are going good, your player hits a late three to get him over the number. When they're not, your player has had the type of game you expected but is a FG short of going over and he sits because his team is getting blown out. Or the Warriors, -8, are up 6 late in the 4th and you're waiting for Stephen Curry to get fouled and hit 2 FTs to get you a push and Andrew Wiggins turns over the ball with 5 seconds left. These are the reasons that Fats is starting to gray at the temples.

Friday picks

The Cavs have been struggling and the Blazers have been picking it up. If they're not too full of themselves after handling the 76ers, they should cover at home.

With Elfrid Payton, Immanuel Quickley AND Derrick Rose throwing lobs, Mitchell Robinson should get dunking opps vs. the Wizards.

The Wolves went home off a long road trip for one game before heading to Charlotte. Hard to imagine they'll be fully motivated.

The Thunder are coming off two tough losses to the Lakers. Playing a third hard road in a row is tough in the NBA.

Lastly, Nikola Jokic has had a double-double in every game but one this season. If someone wants to give me a 95% chance to get a 50% return, I'll take it.

All wagers and returns based on $10. Please check game time lineups before wagering.

Knicks at WIZARDS 7:05 pm EST, Timberwolves at HORNETS 7:05 pm, Thunder at NUGGETS 9:05 pm, Cavaliers at TRAIL BLAZERS 10:05 pm

3-pointers: Trail Blazers -3.5 over Cavaliers and over 223.5 +255 (returns $35.50)

2-pointers: Mitchell Robinson (Knicks) Over 8.5 points +100 (returns $20.00)

Free throws: Hornets -3.5 over Timberwolves -112 (returns $19.00)

Nuggets vs Thunder over 222.5 -109 (returns $19.20)

Steals: Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) double-double -200 (returns $15.00)

Thursday Results

Winners:

Free throws: Joel Embiid (76ers) Over 44.5 points, rebounds, assists -110 (returns $19.10) The 76ers lost but Embiid got a bunch of late boards to go 35-9-3 for a 47 PRA.


Losers:

Free throws: Warriors -8 Over Magic -107 (returns $19.40) The Warriors had the number then gave it away 111-105.

Pascal Siakam (Raptors) Over 30.5 points, rebounds, assists -110 (returns $19.10) Siakam went 23-4-2 for a 29 PRA. Ack.

Jerami Grant (Pistons) Over 22.5 points -110 (returns $19.10) Grant went 4-17 from the field in his worst game as a Piston. 9 points.



Canceled:

0


$40 wagered (1-3), $19.10 returned.

Day 47: -$20.90

Total: -$33.45 (101-119 off 220 $10 wagers)

The Moneyline Experiment

Friday's moneyline contests:

HORNETS -162 over Timberwolves returns $16.20

Knicks -137 over WIZARDS returns $17.30

HAWKS -129 over Spurs returns $17.80

MAVERICKS -143 over Pelicans returns $17.00

CELTICS -360 over Pistons returns $12.80

Clippers -305 over BULLS returns $13.30

NUGGETS -835 over Thunder returns $11.20

JAZZ -139 over Bucks returns $17.20

KINGS -375 over Magic returns $12.70

TRAIL BLAZERS -167 over Cavaliers returns $16.00

LAKERS -250 over Grizzlies returns $14.00

On Thursday the moneyline went 4-1. Only the heavily favored Sixers lost.

Day 1: 4-1. Bet $50. Returned $64.20.

Total: 4-1 +$14.20

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