The scoring comes easily for Atlanta Hawks guard Trae Young. Tonight he needs to concentrate on his rebounding.
The scoring comes easily for Atlanta Hawks guard Trae Young. Tonight he needs to concentrate on his rebounding. Adam Hunger | Associated Press

Wednesday NBA prop picks: Sizzling Fats picks Sabonis, Harden, Reddish, Porzingis, LaMelo, Trae, and more

Hawks at MAVERICKS 7:35 pm, Pacers at NETS, 8:05 pm, Hornets at GRIZZLIES, 8:05 pm

After going 5-2 last night, that's 14-3 over the past three nights, and I'm in the black for the first time in forever. #AlwaysFadeFats maybe ready to return.

Wednesday picks

Kristaps Porzingis has had 9 or more rebounds in 5 of his last 6 games. Tonight, he plays the Hawks who rank 24th in FG pct. I like him Over 8.5. The Mavs, on the other hand, are ranked 30th in 3-point FG pct., which should mean some long rebounds. Trae Young averages 4 boards/game and Over 4.5 he's +137. Cam Reddish averages 4.3 rebounds a game and Over 4.5 he's +110. I'm taking them both and hedging with Hawks/Mavericks Over 232.5 just in case a lot of shots fall.

Granted some of their offensive numbers are thrown off by when they had Victor Oladipo, but the Pacers have been averaging 113/game and some of those games have come against teams who play defense. 117.5 against the Nets seems doable, even if they lose 128-118. And because I always like to have a couple longshots even if they bring down my average, I'm looking for a James Harden triple double at +300 and the wide-open game to make a Domantas Sabonis triple-double possible at +900.

Lastly, there should be a lot of up-and-down action when the Hornets play the Grizzlies and LaMelo Ball and Ja Morant may both be looking to impress. I'm picking LaMelo for the double-double at +150.

All wagers and returns based on $10. Please check game time lineups before wagering.

Hawks at MAVERICKS 7:35 pm, Pacers at NETS, 8:05 pm, Hornets at GRIZZLIES, 8:05 pm

3-pointers: Domantas Sabonis (Pacers) triple-double +900 (returns $100.00)

James Harden (Nets) triple-double +300 (returns $40.00)

2-pointers: LaMelo Ball (Hornets) double-double +150 (returns $25.70)

Trae Young (Hawks) Over 4.5 rebounds +137 (returns $23.70)

Cam Reddish (Hawks) Over 4.5 rebounds +110 (returns $21.00)

Free throws: Hawks vs. Mavericks Over 232.5 points -112 (returns $19.00)

Steals: Pacers over 117.5 -113 (returns $18.90)

Kristaps Porzingis (Mavericks) Over 8.5 rebounds -118 (returns $18.50)

Tuesday Results

Winners:

2-pointers: Nikola Vucevic (Magic) Over 39.5 points, rebounds assists -104 (returns $19.70) Vucevic went off oin the 3rd and finished with 27-15-4.

Free throws: John Wall (Rockets) Over 31.5 points, rebounds, assists -110 (returns $19.10) The Rockets got pummeled but Wall went for 25-4-6 and a 35 PRA.

Eric Gordon (Rockets) Over 25.5 points, rebounds, assists -110 (returns $19.10) The Rockets got pummeled but Gordon went for 23-1-3 and a 27 PRA.

Jerami Grant (Pistons) Over 31.5 points, rebounds, assists -110 (returns $19.10) Grant scorched the Nets for 32-5-4 and a 41 PRA.

Jazz over 112.5 -122 (returns $18.20) The Jazz put up 42 in the 3rd on the way to a 122-108 win.


Losers:

3-pointers: Trail Blazers -6 Over Magic and Over 220.5 +260 (returns $36.00) Blazers covered the 6 but two sub-50 quarters kept the total below 221.

Steals: Knicks vs Heat Over 208.5 points -112 (returns $19.00) This looked like another W until a crushing 36-point 4th quarter, Heat won 98-96.


Canceled:

0


$70 wagered (5-2), $95.20 returned.

Day 45: +$25.20

Total: +$24.75 (98-110 off 208 $10 wagers)

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