Warriors (+2) @ Raptors (213)
Pick: Raptors -2
Pick: Under 213
To the surprise of no one, the public is all over the Warriors again. The Raptors have won six straight home playoff games, just posted a wire-to-wire victory by nine points in Game 1 despite Kawhi Leonard shooting 5-for-14 from the field. That hasn’t stopped casual bettors from going back to the window with the two-time defending champs as the Warriors are getting the majority of the action at just about every book you check. However, the line opened with Golden State as one-point chalk and the Warriors are now a two-point underdog. That’s the kind of reverse line movement that indicates the smart money backed Toronto at home and I tend to agree with the move.
Oddly enough, despite being up 1-0, this feels like a bigger game for the Raptors than the Warriors. Golden State has also been playing well at home of late having won five straight at Oracle Arena. Warriors in six was the expected outcome by many sportsbooks with the expectation being a Golden State split in Toronto and then the Warriors to win all three games at Oracle. Therefore, it’s imperative that the Raptors protect home court again. Who knows if we’ll see Kevin Durant when the series shifts to Oakland, but we know he’s not playing Sunday night and if the Raptors drop even one at home they’ll have quite the uphill battle in this series.
Lay the deuce to back Toronto and take the game under the total of 213. The Raptors have been one of the better defensive teams in the NBA all season. Only five of their 19 playoff games have landed over 213. Golden State has to lock things down defensively here after allowing 118 points in Game 1. The winner of this game won’t eclipse 105.