
Happy Friday, sports betting friends! We here at BettorsInsider hope you had a fantastic week betting on some Major League Baseball. We've muddled through with an 8-7 record so far and will be looking to finish strong this evening with the card.
We're currently sitting at 118-98 on the year with our MLB player props. The results haven't been as good as in years past, but hey, profit is still profit. Friday's MLB card is packed with lots of good matchups, and we even get a couple of NFL preseason games to add a little more spice to the evening.
Check out our top player prop and best bet for August 15 below. Best of luck with all your weekend MLB action. Let's put today in the win column, folks!
TEX at TOR - 7:07 PM EDT (Chris Bassitt vs. Jacob deGrom)
I almost passed on this bet because Bassitt has been kind of a Dr. Jekyll, Mr. Hyde type of starter this season. After starting out 2025 really well, he's come back down to earth after the All-Star break. That being said, I just can't ignore how good the veteran righty has been at home.
I usually don't put a ton of stock in home/road splits, but I didn't have a choice in this case. Bassitt is a perfect 8-0 at home this season with a very nice ERA of only 2.56. Those are the type of metrics I can put my hard-earned money behind. I also like that Bassitt has eight different pitches in his arsenal to keep opposing hitters guessing at the plate.
Bassitt also gets a dream matchup against a very weak hitting Texas team. The Rangers rank just 25th in WRC+ against right-handers this season. Their current form also isn't good, as they rank 27th in that same stat over the last two weeks. Give me this Under, and let's cheer for Bassitt to keep dominating at the Rogers Centre!
BAL at HOU - 8:10 PM EDT (Brandon Young vs. Framber Valdez)
Here's another MLB investment where the home/road splits are simply too nice to ignore. Framber Freakin' Valdez has always been one of my favorite southpaws to bet on. The 31-year-old (is he really that old?) lefty is always consistent, but his home numbers are simply insane (5-1 with 1.65 ERA).
Valdez draws a beautiful matchup against a Baltimore team that has scuffled against lefties in a big way all year long. The O's rank just 22nd in wOBA this season against southpaws. They also rank dead last in WRC+ over the last 14 days. In other words, it could be a long night at the plate for the Dirty Birds.
Baltimore should also struggle with Valdez's pitch mix. He throws a sinker 44% of the time, and the Orioles rank just 27th against that offering.
I also like that this Baltimore team hasn't seen Framber yet this season. Give me the O's to score one run or less through the first 5 innings tonight in H-Town.