Happy Monday, sports betting family! We hope you had a fantastic weekend betting on some Major League Baseball. Our plays were just so-so to end the week, as Friday's record was 2-2 and Saturday's was 1-1.
We're currently sitting at 103-81 on the year with our MLB player props. July has been good to us so far, as our current ROI is over +9%. Let's buckle up for a nice stretch run before our focus turns to college football and the NFL once September rolls around.
Check out our 3 player props for July 28th below. Best of luck with all your MLB action. Let's put Monday in the win column, my friends!
TOR at BAL - 6:35 PM EDT
This is way too cheap of a price on a wily old veteran like Bassitt, who registered 7 Ks against this Orioles team back on March 30th. Bassitt has pitched against this roster quite a bit (104 batters faced), and he's racked up a K-rate of 25% against them.
I know Balty is striking out less these days, but I still think Bassitt will find us at least 6 punchouts tonight on the road. The 36-year-old uses eight different pitches to keep hitters on their toes. He doesn't throw that hard, but all of his stuff has quite a bit of movement.
Baltimore's offense has been a huge disappointment in 2025. They have the 5th-highest K-rate in MLB against righties this season, and most of their big boppers have underperformed. Let's play the Over!
LAD at CIN - 7:10 PM EDT
I've always said that Yamamoto is more of a groundball guy than a pure strikeout pitcher, but this price is at least a full strikeout too low. The Japanese phenom has a median K number of 6 this year, but I adjusted that up to 7.5 because of Cincy's propensity to chase pitches out of the zone.
The Reds rank just 22nd against the splitter, and Yamamoto throws that bad boy 26% of the time. Cincinnati also has the 9th-highest K-rate against right-handers this season. Guys like Tyler Stephenson, Matt McLain, and Elly De La Cruz often strike out twice per game or more.
Yamamoto's stuff has been on point for most of this season, as evidenced by his expected ERA of just 2.84 (91st percentile). The juice of -150 doesn't scare me in the slightest. Give me the Over!
PHI at CWS - 7:40 PM EDT
Just like Yamamoto, Sanchez relies more on ground balls than strikeouts. That being said, the dynamic Phillies lefty has been striking out more hitters than normal in 2025. Sanchez's K-rate of 26.7% currently puts him in the 79th percentile.
The White Sox have improved this year, but they still swing and miss a ton against southpaws. The South Siders have the 5th-highest K-rate in MLB against lefties, so look for Sanchez to have plenty of opportunities to cash this ticket for us.
Sanchez's pitch mix makes me like this Over even more. He throws a sinker 47% of the time, and the White Sox rank dead last against that pitch. Sanchez also throws his changeup 37% of the time, and the Chi Sox rank just 26th against that. Let's cash another Over to close out Monday!