Happy Hump Day, sports betting family! Tuesday was good for us on the MLB side of things. We went 3-2 to run our record to 74-59 for player props on the season. Our full game Under was a stress-free winner on the Rays vs. Royals Under 9.
Our other plays split at 2-2, with one strikeout props parlay cashing and the other one losing thanks to Carlos Rodon. Check out our 2 best bets and top player prop for June 25 below. Best of luck with all your Wednesday MLB action.
PIT at MIL - 2:10 PM EDT (Skenes vs. Misioroski)
I'm all about taking the Under in Pirates games this season, especially with an ace like Skenes on the hill. The Under is 44-34 in games involving Pittsburgh this season. The Pirates have stayed under in 3 of Skenes's last 5 starts, and I expect that trend to continue this afternoon in Milwaukee.
As most MLB fans know by now, Mr. Skenes is virtually unhittable when he's on. Opposing hitters have an expected batting average of just .203 this season against the former LSU phenom. This Brewers offense has been pretty hot lately, but I don't see them getting more than a run on Skenes.
On the flip side, I like what I've seen from Milwaukee starter Jacob Misiorowski, who is one of the Brewers top prospects. The 23-year-old is 2-0 with a tiny ERA of 1.64 so far in his young MLB career. His youth is a concern, but I think he'll mow down this subpar Pittsburgh lineup quite easily today at home. Give me the Under!
WSH at SD - 4:10 PM EDT (Gore vs. Pivetta)
I'm paying the extra juice over at Hard Rock to avoid a push on this one. If you want to pay -110 for Under 8, I'm completely on board with that option. We're getting a great number on two above-average pitchers in this matchup.
MacKenzie Gore is just 3-7 this season, but that poor record is due to a lousy bullpen and a severe lack of run support. The lefty's ERA of 3.19 tells us that he's been pitching well all year long. Gore's K-rate also ranks in the 94th percentile, so he has the ability to pitch out of jams when he needs to.
Nick Pivetta has quietly become one of the most reliable righties in the National League this season. No, he still isn't a household name, but his 7-2 record and 3.64 ERA are solid numbers. Pivetta doesn't throw overly hard, but he gets a lot of extension to make his 94 mph heater look more like 98.
I don't like the Nats bullpen, but I'm hoping Gore can give us a solid 6 or 7 innings, so that damage will be kept to a minimum. Give me the Under.
LAD at COL - 8:40 PM EDT
I'm not going to outsmart myself with this one. Yamamoto draws a fantastic matchup against this pitiful Rockies lineup that hasn't seen his stuff this year. Sure, the Coors Field factor scares me a bit, but not enough to keep me from playing this at the plus-money price.
Yamamoto has a K-rate of 28% against this lineup, and 6 Colorado hitters' fan at least 24% of the time. The Rockies may score more runs at home in the thin Rocky Mountain air, but they still strike out a ton at Coors. Colorado has the 2nd highest K-rate in MLB at home.
Yamamoto's K-rate ranks in the 82nd percentile, so he certainly has the stuff to dominate tonight. His curveball won't break as much at Coors, but he still has 5 other nasty pitches at his disposal. Give me an Over to close out the Hump Day card.