Happy Hump Day, fellow sports investors! Tuesday was nice for us on the MLB side of things. We went 2-1 to run our record to 104-97 on the season. Our strikeout prop parlays went 1-1, but our best bet easily cashed with the White Sox and Astros staying Under 8 runs.
Let's keep the money training rolling with 2 more player prop parlays and a best bet for June 11th. Good luck, my friends.
SEA at AZ - 3:40 PM EDT and TEX at MIN - 7:40 PM EDT
Woo isn't a prolific strikeout pitcher, but he consistently works deep into games and always seems to find 4 or 5 Ks. The 25-year-old has good life on his fastball, and his sinker often drops off the table once it gets near the plate. Woo has fanned 4 or more hitters in 11 of his 12 starts this season.
The matchup against Arizona isn't ideal, as the D'Backs have a fairly high contact rate against righties this season. Even still, three Arizona hitters have K-rates above 23.8%. Give me an afternoon Over to kick off our card.
Festa is a risky proposition, but his stuff is so dynamic that I can't stay away. The Twins' young prospect never pitches deep into games, but I have a feeling that will change pretty soon with Pablo Lopez going on the IL.
The former Seton Hall standout has racked up 98 strikeouts in just 81 big league innings in his career. Six of those were against this same Texas squad last season. I could see Festa making this scuffling Texas lineup look silly for 4 or 5 innings tonight at home.
NYY at KC - 7:40 PM EDT and SF at COL - 8:40 PM EDT
Bubic has been flying under the radar, but he's made us some good money at times this season. The Royals made the right decision when they moved the young lefty from the bullpen into the starting rotation. The 27-year-old's K-rate ranks in the 78th percentile, and his chase rate has been even better than that (86th percentile).
The Yankees don't fan as often against lefties as they do righties, but I still think Bubic matches up pretty well against them. He was able to find 6 Ks against New York back on April 16th, so asking him to get 5 here seems pretty safe.
Robbie Ray looks more and more like the guy who won a Cy Young award a few years ago. After battling through a few injuries, the veteran lefty has finally found the late-breaking slider that made him one of the top pitchers in the league back in the day. Ray draws an ideal matchup against Colorado tonight.
Even though pitching at Coors Field is tough, I still feel pretty good about Ray finding us at least 6 Ks. He got 8 against the Rockies back on May 2nd, so this one is a no-brainer. It also doesn't hurt that sliders (Ray's main pitch) aren't affected by the thin air as much as curveballs.
NYY at KC - 7:40 PM EDT
This one is scary because the Yankees just put up 10 runs last night against this same Royals team. That being said, I look for the aforementioned Kris Bubic to keep the Yanks' bats at bay for at least 5 or 6 innings tonight at home. The 6'3" southpaw is 5-3 with one of the lowest ERAs in baseball (1.43).
I'm not a big Clarke Schmidt fan, but I don't think he'll have much trouble against this light-hitting Royals lineup. Kansas City ranks just 26th in WRC+ against righties, so a dominant performance from Schmidt isn't out of the question in this spot. Even if Schmidt struggles, the Yanks have one of the top bullpens in MLB.
Both of these offenses have been hot lately, so that's a bit of a concern. However, both squads combine to average just 8.51 runs per game when adjusting for home/away splits. Let's play another Under!