Happy Hump Day, sports betting family! I hope all of you had a terrific Tuesday. We had a profitable 2-1 showing to help us shake off a rough Monday. That brings us to 94-92 on the season, which is hopefully a sign that things are turning around.
Our K prop parlay got us to the payout window yesterday, as Carlos Rodon and Freddy Peralta each dominated their opposing lineups. Our game totals split 1-1, with a winner on the Under in Houston vs. Pittsburgh and a loser on Los Angeles vs. Boston. Check out our 2 player props parlays for June 4th below. Let's ride!
CHC at WSH - 6:45 PM EDT and CLE at NYY- 7:05 EDT
There are certain pitchers that I like to bet on, even when they're drawing tough matchups. MacKenzie Gore is one of those guys! The Nats' lefty has turned himself into one of the most feared southpaws in the game today.
The Cubs have hit lefties well all season long, so there is some risk of an early exit from Gore, but I don't see that happening because his stuff is so filthy. The 26-year-old gets ridiculous movement on both his curveball and his slider, so look for him to find at least 6 punchouts early this evening.
As good as Chicago has been at putting the ball in play, they still have 3 hitters who strike out more than 25% of the time. Gore should feast against those guys (Dansby Swanson, Seiya Suzuki, Pete Crow-Armstrong).
As for the 2nd half of the parlay, Luis Ortiz cashed for us on Friday, and I think the books continue to overlook how much he's improved. The young righty's K-rate ranks in the 68th percentile, which isn't too shabby. His 82nd percentile whiff rate is even more impressive.
Pitching in Yankee Stadium can be a daunting task, but I think Ortiz can navigate his way to at least 4 Ks for us. New York will be fanning more now that Jazz Chisholm is back in the lineup after an oblique injury. The Yanks have the 7th-highest K-rate in baseball against righties, so we'll trust Ortiz to get the job done tonight on the road.
AZ at ATL - 7:15 PM EDT and SD at SF - 9:45 EDT
Sale only had 4 strikeouts against this mighty Arizona lineup back on April 25th, but that was before he got into his current groove of making everyone look silly with his dynamic slider. Look for the reigning Cy Young Award winner to get some sweet revenge against the D'Backs tonight at home.
Sale just got 8 Ks against the Phillies and 6 Ks against the Padres. Both of those squads are high-contact teams, just like the D'Backs. It's always scary to fade good lineups, but just like with Gore, I trust Sale to get the job done for us.
Nick Pivetta cashed for us last Friday against the Pirates, and I like running it back with him against this Giants squad. San Fran has 4 hitters who strike out more than 24% of the time, so asking Pivetta to get only 5 Ks sounds like a good deal for our parlay.
Pivetta has looked pretty dominant this season with his breaking stuff. He's used two different curveballs and a cutter to boost his K-rate into the 85th percentile. Let's cash this one, ladies and gentlemen!