Happy Hump Day, fellow sports bettors! Tuesday was tough for us on the MLB side of things. We went 1-2, running our record to 53-54 on the young season for a deficit of 11.45 units. We need to find our groove again and dig out of this hole.
Nate Eovaldi got the job done for us and our Over ticket, as he easily dismantled the Red Sox lineup. Unfortunately, our other two plays on David Peterson's Under and Michael King's Over were losers. On a better note, the Phillies took down the Rays to bring us one game closer to cashing our series bet on them.
The K props have done well this season at 36-28 (+2.41), but everything else has brought down our record. Let's shake it off and move on with 3 more strikeout props for Wednesday, May 7. Best of luck, my friends!
TEX at BOS - 6:45 PM EDT
Mahle looks to have his career back on track after a couple of injury-riddled seasons in 2023 and 2024. The big righty's off-speed stuff has been electric this season and has led to a 3-1 record and a tiny ERA of just 1.19.
Pitching at Fenway Park is always a tough ask for any pitcher, but I think Mahle can confuse this Red Sox lineup with both his cutter and his splitter. The 30-year-old's K-rate isn't anything to write home about (51st percentile), but the matchup against this free-swinging Boston squad is just too good to ignore.
Just how good is this matchup for Mahle? Five Boston hitters strike out over 23.6% of the time. Look for Mahle to cruise for most of the night on his way to at least 5 punch outs.
CWS at KC - 7:40 PM EDT
The White Sox still have high hopes for Cannon, but I've made it a point to fade him over the last year or so. His changeup and sinker are decent, but he doesn't throw that hard. This leads to a high-contact rate from opposing hitters, as evidenced by his K-rate of only 18.9%.
Cannon is still just 24 years old, so he could develop into a mid-tier starter if he learns how to induce more ground balls. That being said, he should struggle to get very many strikeouts against Kansas City tonight on the road.
This Royals team puts the ball in play very well against righties, as they have the lowest K-rate in baseball against them. Kansas City also has the lowest K-rate in MLB over the last 14 days. Give me a sweaty Under!
TOR at LAA - 9:38 PM EDT
This juicy price kind of bothers me, but this number is at least a full strikeout too low by my numbers. Berrios's median number of Ks was 5 last season, and he draws a fantastic matchup against a very strikeout prone Angels team.
LAA has the 2nd-highest K-rate in baseball against righties, and they have the highest K-rate over the last two weeks. They could struggle in a mighty way tonight against Berrios's sinker and slurve.
Berrios's strikeout rate has dipped a little bit over the last couple of years, but he shouldn't have any trouble getting at least 5 Ks. I also like that his outs line is sitting at 17.5 outs and heavily juiced to the Over. That means he should get at least 6 innings of work.