Our MLB selections suffered the dreaded golden sombrero on Tuesday night, as we went 0-3. Among last night's losers was another painful loss by the hook on Cooper Criswell. We've been riding the struggle bus since coming back from the All-Star Break, but the tide will turn soon.
Let's get back in the winner's circle with 2 player props and a best bet for Wednesday, July 24. Good luck, sports betting family!
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BOS at COL - 3:10 PM EDT
The Rockies have burned me two days in a row with this prop, so proceed with some caution on this one. I may need to quit fading Colorado at Coors Field, but we're going to give it one more shot today with a high strikeout guy like Pivetta.
Pivetta's K-rate is one of the best in the American League at 29.4% (89th percentile in MLB). The 31-year-old righty only hits around 94 mph on the gun, but it looks more like 98 because of his extension. I do worry that his sweeper won't get the same break at Coors, but it's not enough of a concern to keep me off this play.
We've been fading this Rockies team in the strikeout department quite a bit this season. That strategy has paid dividends even though it hasn't gone well the past couple of days. Five Colorado hitters have K-rates above 24.7%. Let's try another Over for some daytime action!
AZ at KC - 8:10 PM EDT
I'm using the handy dandy BetMGM 33% Odds Boost token on this play! That sweet little promo takes the odds from -140 to -106, which is hard to beat. If you don't have an account with BetMGM, I highly recommend signing up with them and using promo code INSIDER.
Nelson only has a K-rate of 5% against this Royals lineup. Yes, I know that it's a small sample size of only 20 plate appearances, but that's still an eye-popping number nonetheless. The young righty throws 95 mph with his fastball, but he just doesn't get enough movement to keep big league hitters from teeing off on it.
The Royals have six batters with strikeout rates below 19.3%. Kansas City also strikes out far less at home than on the road. This one will be sweaty, but the Under is the only way to play this one!
DET at CLE - 6:40 PM EDT
I don't play many totals, but every once in a while I see one that catches my eye. In this matchup, we get two bona-fide aces in Jack Flaherty and Tanner Bibee. Flaherty has a K-rate of 32.4% and Bibee isn't too far behind at 27.8%.
I don't expect the Cleveland bats to do much damage against Flaherty. The Guardians are only averaging 2.5 runs per game over their last 10 outings. Also, opposing teams have an expected batting average of just .219 against Flaherty for the season.
The Tigers have hit Bibee pretty well this season, so that's a bit of a concern for me. However, I think this kid has really matured and he's starting to get more comfortable using his slider and changeup. Give me the Under!