In case you haven't noticed, baseball is a humbling game. After a nice 14-3 week last week, we've come back down to earth this week with 4 straight losing days. Although the damage has been minimal, it's a great reminder to always practice conservative money management.
Thursday brought another 2-3 performance to us, and two of the three losses were on Unders that we felt strongly about. Time to shake it off and move on with 5 strikeout props for Friday, June 7. Good luck, sports betting amigos!
Mr. Ryan is one of my favorite pitchers to bet on! Though the Twins don't give him much run support, he's still got a K-rate that ranks in the 78th percentile (27%). Ryan throws 94 mph with very good extension, so it looks more like 98 or 99 mph.
The 28-year-old righty also has a devastating splitter when he's really locked in. Ryan gets a very favorable matchup tonight against Pittsburgh. Although the P'Rats were impressive against the Dodgers, they still strike out quite a bit.
The Pirates have 4 everyday players with K-rates above 24%. Ryan's median K number is only 6 this season, but I bumped that up to 7.5 because of Pittsburgh's strikeout-prone lineup. Let's get this Over!
Crochet has been one of the few bright spots for this awful White Sox team this season. The young lefty had always been a reliever until this season, which makes his dominance as a starter even more impressive.
The former Tennessee Vol has one of the highest K-rates in baseball at 33.7% (95th percentile). His extension, whiff rate, and chase rates are also off the charts. Crochet hits 97 with his fastball and his 91 mph cutter keeps hitters guessing.
Crochet gets a fabulous matchup against Boston tonight. The BoSox are a good hitting team, but they've struggled all year against lefties. With the way Crochet has been pitching, he may cash this over for us in the 4th inning!
Ahhhh yes, there's nothing that'll make you question your sanity more than betting on Big Boy Lance. The 37-year-old's best days are behind him, but he can still generate some strikeouts up in the zone with his fastball.
Even though Lynn is only hitting 92 with his fastball these days, his ERA of 3.23 suggests that he's been locating it pretty well. He's also not afraid to mix in a cutter, slider, and sinker at times.
I still can't believe Sonny Gray didn't cash our Over last night against this putrid Rockies lineup. Hopefully Lynn will bring his A-game at home and rack up at least 6 Ks in this one. Lynn's lifetime career K-rate of 28.4% against this lineup makes me think we have a good shot.
We've made a small fortune fading Canning this season, and there's no reason to stop now. I really don't understand why the books didn't put this line at 3.5 or even 2.5. Canning has one of the lower K-rates in the league at just 16.4%.
The 28-year-old has shown promise at times during his career, but he just doesn't have elite stuff. Canning's best pitch is his changeup, but he uses that more to get ground balls than swings and misses.
Houston is my go-to team for playing Unders on strikeout props. It's easy to see why. Seven of the Astros everyday players have K-rates below 18.3%. Take the Under with confidence.
Bassitt doesn't have the greatest stuff in the world, but something tells me he'll be dialed in against his former team tonight. Bassitt was an All-Star for Oakland just a few years ago, so he clearly knows how to pitch.
The 35-year-old has had a so-so type of season so far, but his K-rate is still decent at 21.9%. One interesting thing about Bassitt is that he throws 8 different pitches. Don't you know that the catcher is grateful to have PitchCom (lol).
The A's have been an ideal matchup for K prop Overs this season, and I'm going to keep riding that train tonight. Bassitt's lifetime K-rate against this Oakland lineup is 26.7%. The Over is the play here!