MLB Betting Preview: 5 Player Props We Love for Thursday, June 6

Need help betting on Thursday's MLB slate? You've come to the right place! Check out the 5 player props we love for June 6.
Bailer Falter could be in for a rough evening against the Dodgers on Thursday!
Bailer Falter could be in for a rough evening against the Dodgers on Thursday!

After a lackluster 2-3 evening, we're ready to get back on track with our MLB player props. Thankfully, our 2 winners were for plus money, so the damage was limited to only a half-unit loss or so.

I'm still really shocked that both Graham Ashcraft and Logan Gilbert didn't get more strikeouts. Oh well, we roll on to the Thursday card. I found 5 player props that I love for June 6. Let's go!

Top MLB Bonus: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets from Bet365

Tanner Bibee Under 5.5 Ks (+118 at FanDuel)

There's nothing like a good plus money under to get the day kick-started. This is a 1:10 PM Eastern start time, so get those bets in soon folks. Sure, I get that this play is a bit scary!

After all, Bibee has an excellent K-rate of 25.6%, which puts him in the 71st percentile of MLB. The 25-year-old Cal State Fullerton product possesses a devastating slider and an above-average change-up.

Two things make me like this Under. One, even with his good stuff, Bibee's Chase Rate only ranks in the 22nd percentile. This Royals team also doesn't strike out very often, as they have 7 players with K-rates under 19.3%.

Bailey Falter Under 3.5 Ks (-120 at DraftKings)

Falter could get knocked out of this game early against this powerful Dodgers lineup. The 27-year-old has good control but he has one of the lowest K-rates in baseball at just 15.3%.

That stat alone makes me think that this line should be 2.5 instead of 3.5. Falter's Whiff Rate is also subpar, as it ranks in just the 14th percentile.

His fastball has good life, but he can hang both his curveball and his slider at times. That could be a problem against Betts, Ohtani, and Freeman. Let's jump on this Under before the juice gets into the -150 range.

Javier Assad Over 4.5 Ks (-146 at FanDuel)

Gee, we've seen this movie before. Assad faced this Reds team only 6 days ago and he was lights out. The 26-year-old righty struck out 7 Cincy hitters in that game, and he's capable of repeating that number tonight.

Assad isn't necessarily a power pitcher, but he does have a slightly above average K-rate of 23.2%. He has a really good sinker and his cutter isn't too shabby either. Assad doesn't generate a ton of whiff, but he's a smart kid that knows how to locate his pitches.

We've made a boatload of cash by fading this Reds lineup all season long. They are starting to hit the ball better, but guys like Will Benson and Elly De La Cruz are still striking out at well over a 30% clip each.

Sonny Gray Over 6.5 Ks (-136 at FanDuel)

Jump on this as quickly as you can because I only seeing it going up. I'm shocked that the books didn't put this line out at 7.5 instead of 6.5. Gray has been one of the most dominant starters in MLB this season.

The veteran righty from Smyrna, TN has one of the best K-rates in the game at 33.5% (95th percentile). Gray uses two different types of curveballs and both of them can make hitters look silly at the plate.

Gray shouldn't have any trouble carving up this Rockies lineup. They have a lot of young guys that haven't learned how to be patient. That could be a problem against all 6 of Mr. Gray's pitches. Take the Over!

Slade Cecconi Under 3.5 Ks (-154 at BetMGM)

Don't tell my boss, but I'm breaking the juice rule with this play. I try my best to stick to never laying more than -150 on player props, but sometimes the value is still too good to pass up. This is one of those cases!

Have you noticed how much less this San Diego team strikes out since they got Luis Arraez from the Marlins? While the Padres's overall performance has been disappointing, they do NOT struggle to put the ball in play.

Six San Diego hitters have K-rates below 17.1%. That should help our case for the Under, especially since Cecconi doesn't have overpowering stuff. The 24-year-old only ranks in the 3rd percentile in Chase and only the 10th percentile in Whiff. Give me the Under, even with the added juice!

Best of luck today, sports betting family! I greatly appreciate all of you that spend time reading my thoughts each morning. Cheers!

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