MLB Betting Preview: Our 3 Favorite Player Props for Thursday, May 30

After a nice 3-2 evening, we're hungry for more MLB strikeout props! Check out the 3 plays we have on tap for Thursday afternoon here!
Chris Paddack is part of our MLB player props card for Thursday afternoon!
Chris Paddack is part of our MLB player props card for Thursday afternoon!

Wednesday was another profitable day for the home team, as our MLB strikeout props went 3-2. That runs the yearly ledger up to 97-70, which isn't too shabby. We enjoyed winners on Tarik Skubal, David Peterson, and Bailey Ober yesterday.

The only two blemishes on the card were at the hands of Chris Flexen and George Kirby. Even still, we'll always be grateful for a day in the green. Thursday's card is small, but we did find 3 afternoon plays to scratch the baseball itch. Good luck, sports investing family!

Top MLB Bonus: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Team Wins

Chris Paddack Under 4.5 Ks (-120 at DraftKings)

Paddack has looked great in some limited action against the Royals, but this is still a good spot for the Under in my humble opinion. Like we talked about yesterday, this Kansas City puts the ball in play at a high rate against righties.

Seven of the Royals' everyday players have K-rates below 19.6%. That's pretty impressive, especially for one of the younger teams in Major League Baseball. Even power hitters like Vinnie Pasquantino and Salvy Perez have strikeout rates below 15.3%.

As for Mr. Paddack, he's more of a pitch-to-contact type of guy. His K-rate is only 20.7% this season and his whiff rate only ranks in the 38th percentile. The 28-year-old has a decent fastball but he lacks a put-away breaking pitch. Give me the Under with a cup of java for this 1:10 Eastern start time.

Spencer Arrighetti Over 5.5 Ks (-148 at FanDuel)

This may feel a bit trappy, but I think FanDuel is being too generous by tossing out 5.5 when the rest of the market lists this at 6.5. Seattle's tendency to swing and miss has been well-documented this season.

The M's strike out more than any other MLB team, regardless of who is on the mound. Seattle has 7 players with K-rates above 23.9%. Heck, Cal Raleigh and Mitch Garver both fan more than 31% of the time.

I love that the Mariners have never faced Arrighetti. I think that gives the young righty a bit of an edge. The 24-year-old throws 94 mph with an extension that ranks in the 97th percentile. His huge ERA of nearly 7 is concerning, but I still think he gets 6 plus Ks today.

Logan Gilbert Under 5.5 Ks (-120 at DraftKings)

The Lastros burned me last night, as they struck out 8 times against George Kirby. I don't see Houston doing that two days in a row, even against a powerful hurler like Gilbert.

The Stetson University alum has excellent stuff, but asking him to get 6 Ks against a team like Houston is a tall order. The Astros have 8 players with K-rates below 19%.

Gilbert did get 6 Ks against Houston back on May 4th but it took him 8 innings of work to do it. Most books have Gilbert's outs at 18.5 and heavily juiced to the Under today. This one's scary but there's enough of an edge to pull the trigger!

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