Happy Tuesday, sports betting family! I hope everyone had a terrific Memorial Day Weekend. We are so blessed to live in a country where people are willing to fight for our freedom and give the ultimate sacrifice!
Our MLB picks went 2-2 last Friday to run our yearly ledger to 90-68. The strikeout props remain the cornerstone for our success, as they're now 43-23 this year. We'll continue to focus on those wagers moving forward.
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I'm not a big Kyle Gibson guy, but this number is a bit too low. Even though Great American Ballpark is very hitter-friendly, Cincy still strikes out quite often against righties. The Reds have 4 everyday players with K-rates over 26%.
We don't mean to keep picking on Elly de la Cruz and Will Benson. They're both exciting young players, but both strike out quite frequently. Those two usually combine for at least 3-4 Ks per game.
Gibson's K-rate isn't that great, but his Whiff Rate ranks at about average (46th percentile). I do like the fact that Gibson has a lifetime K-rate of 26.7% against these Reds hitters. Take the Over!
This line is a real head-scratcher for me. I actually think it should be 7.5 instead of 5.5. Oakland players have struck out a ton against righties this season. The A's have 5 players with K-rates over 29%!
Littel has looked dominant at times in 2024, and he's gone over this total in 6 of his 10 starts. The 28-year-old has a good K-rate of 23.6% and his Chase Rate ranks in the 75th percentile.
Look for Littel to rack up plenty of Ks against this Oakland lineup with his nasty slider. He also has a splitter that can leave hitters looking quite foolish. Take another Over!
I tried my best to get this article done when this was +105 at DraftKings, but it just didn't work out. Even still, this price is a bargain over at FanDuel. Some books now have this in the -170s.
Clevinger has not looked good at all in his 4 starts this season. His ERA is nearly 7 and his Walk Rate of 11.5% suggest that the Jays could pound him into submission early in this game.
Even though Clevinger's median K number is 5, you have to remember that Toronto puts the ball in play at a high rate. This Under should cash with ease!
I'll be honest. I went back and forth on this one. T-Mac has gone over this number of strikeouts in 7 straight games. He's looking much better after a couple of rough starts back in March and April.
My main concern here is Coors Field. I usually don't like to play K props over at Coors, just because the high altitude really messes with the spin rate on a pitcher's breaking pitches.
All of that said, I still like the Over. Even though it's a small sample size, McKenzie has a K-rate of 43.8% against these Colorado hitters. That's enough for me to pull the trigger.
We might as well stay in the same game to wrap things up on Tuesday night. Feltner has decent stuff and he throws 95 mph. However, Cleveland seems to never strike out against righties.
The Guardians have 6 players with K-rates under 18%. Feltner has only struck out 20% of the batters he's faced this season. Because of those two metrics alone, I made this line 2.5 instead of 3.5.
The only real strikeout threat in this Cleveland lineup is Bo Naylor, who whiffs at a rate of 35.7%. That said, I don't see Feltner being around long enough to face Bo more than twice. Let's get the Under!