Yeeeehaaaaw! We're flying high after a perfect 6-0 sweep with our MLB selections on Tuesday night! It was just the bounce back we needed and it ran our record to 63-40 for the season.
It's to time to refocus and get ready to slam the Wednesday card! Check out what we have on tap for May 8th. Best of luck, sports betting comrades!
The Royals got us to the pay window by not striking out much against Colin Rea last night. Let's run it back with the same logic for some early action on Wednesday. This is a 2:10 Eastern start time, so get those bets placed early!
Ross looked great in his last start, but he's been knocked around a few times this season. The 6'4" righty relies a whole lot more on getting ground balls than strikeouts. His K-rate of 19% only puts him in the 27th percentile.
We've talked quite a bit about how the Royals just don't fan much against righties. Kansas City has 5 players with K-rates below 18%. Let's ride another early Under to kick off our Hump Day!
This is more juice than I would like, but my numbers show a huge edge so I'm firing on it. If you want to play the Under at plus money over at FanDuel I'm just fine with that as well. Rodon is an interesting case study.
The veteran lefty's stuff looks to be back to where it was when he won a Cy Young award with the Giants a few years ago. The weird thing though, is that he's not getting nearly as many strikeouts as he used to.
Though Rodon's K-rate is slightly above average, his Whiff Rate is only in the 27th percentile. Y'all know how I love riding this Houston lineup to not strikeout. Let's do it again!
I couldn't pass up this plus money over at Caesars. You can find this in the Alternate Strikeouts column and it's listed as 5+ Strikeouts. Look, I know Hicks is more of a ground ball guy, but hear me out.
Half of this Rockies lineup looks lost at the plate most of the time. Colorado strikes out 28.3% of the time against righties, which is the 3rd highest in baseball. They have 4 guys with K-rates above 27%!
I made this number 5.5, so the generous plus money is a no-brainer. Let's play an Over to end our Wednesday evening.
I'm a big fan of George Kirby, so I just had to jump on this price, especially since I have the young righty as a Top 15 pitcher in MLB. I love that Kirby is starting to throw his 95 mph fastball more in the upper half of the zone.
This is resulting in a lot more swings and misses, as evidenced by his Chase Rate of 31.8% (79th percentile). I'm also quite fond of Kirby's 86 mph slider and his 85 mph splitter.
The M's bats do concern me some, but they put up 10 runs last night. That's a good sign that guys like Julio Rodriguez and Ty France are starting to get in a better groove at the plate. Let's go Mariners!
I must admit that I struggled to pull the trigger on this bet. I hate laying the run line with a Giants offense that ranks just 20th in WRC+ against righties. That being said, the Rockies rank dead last in that category, so there ya go!
As you could tell from one of my earlier picks, I like Jordan Hicks quite a bit. He throws 97 mph when he needs to but his sinker and split-finger are his main pitches. What's really impressive about Hicks though is is 58.1% ground ball rate, which ranks in the 92nd percentile.
The Giants also have the bullpen edge in this game. I have San Fran's pen rated as the 14th best in baseball, while Colorado's comes in at dead last. Give me the G-Men!