One of our MLB best bets for Monday involves Luis Castillo and the Mariners.
One of our MLB best bets for Monday involves Luis Castillo and the Mariners.

MLB Betting Preview: 3 Best Bets and 2 Player Props for Monday, May 6

After a nice 3-2 Friday, our MLB picks now sit at an outstanding 56-36 on the year! Check out our MLB betting preview for Monday to keep the good times rolling!

Top MLB Bonus: Bet $5, Get $200 at DraftKings

Friday was another nice result for the good guys, as our MLB selections finished up at 3-2. Jose Quintana let us down in a big way, but other than that, it was a very solid card.

The strikeout props continue to do well, and we'll continue to pick our spots with those. Monday's card brings us 3 best bets and 2 player props! Good luck, sports betting amigos!

Mariners F5 (-140) (DraftKings)

Man, it sure is tough to bet against this Twins team right now. They lead MLB in WRC+ over the last 14 days, but I just can't pass up the opportunity to back the much better starting pitcher in Luis Castillo.

The 31-year-old has only given up 4 earned runs in his last 4 starts and his slider is starting to show more bite of late. On the flip side, Simeon Woods-Richardson has been decent, but his expected slugging percentage allowed of .495 is a concern. I'm hoping that Ty France and Josh Rojas can scratch out at least a couple of runs against Woods-Richardson.

By my numbers, the Twins have the best bullpen in baseball. The Mariners pen isn't bad, but we'll play the first 5 innings to take out the implied relief pitching edge that Minny has.

Royals -0.5 (F5) (-105 at DraftKings)

This may be my favorite play on the board today! I'm a big believer in Cole Ragans, mainly because of his 96 mph fastball and his 93 mph cutter. Ragans's whiff rate of over 30% is also pretty impressive, especially for a left-hander.

The Brewers are a scrappy bunch, but they've struggled to hit lefties all year long. Milwaukee ranks just 23 in weighted runs created plus against southpaws. On the flip side, Kansas City ranks 13th in that category versus righties.

So, we have the better starter and the better lineup. I can't stand the Royals bullpen, so we'll go the First 5 route once again.

Rangers F5 (-130 at Hard Rock)

Oakland has impressed me so much this season that I can no longer refer to them as the Triple A's. Even still, I'm going to take my chances with this Rangers squad at a pretty cheap price. In all honesty, this is just a full fade of Oakland starter Alex Wood.

According to my numbers, Wood is one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball. His expected batting average against of .295 and his hard hit rate of 48% shows that Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia could both have great nights at the plate.

This feels weird to say (or even type) but Oakland has one of the best bullpens in the AL this season. The A's have a reliever ERA of just 3.04. Because of this, we'll play Texas in the First 5.

Simeon Woods-Richardson Over 4.5 Ks (-143 at BetRivers)

This one's a bit juicy, but I think this line should be 5.5 instead of 4.5. Woods-Richardson is not a big strikeout guy (20.6%) but he's got an above-average slider. His change up is also pretty good.

The Mariners strike out a ton versus righties! Seattle has 6 everyday players with K-rates above 27%. They just can't seem to put the ball in play.

That tells me that Simeon Woods-Richardson (doesn't that sound like a law firm?) is highly capable of fanning at least 5 Seattle hitters before his day is done. Take the Over!

Bryse Wilson Under 3.5 Ks (-130 at DraftKings)

A lot of handicappers hate playing Unders on strikeouts when the line is 3.5. I understand that, but there's value on that side more often than not. Wilson has a 94 mph sinker, but he's never been a prolific K-man for the Brewers.

Wilson's K-rate of 22.6% is decent, but his whiff rate only puts him in the 18th percentile. That just shows that he pitches to contact and that he's without a real put-away pitch.

Kansas City knows how to put the ball in play, especially against righties. The Royals have 5 players with K-rates below 18.5%. Let's hold our collective breath and play the Under!

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