MLB Friday Stat Insights for Phillies vs Mets, Aaron Nola, Tylor Megill and Rhys Hoskins' pull rate
The Phillies are scheduled to start Aaron Nola (1-2, 3.74 ERA) against Mets starting pitcher Tylor Megill (3-0, 2.35 ERA) on Friday. In Nola's last outing, the Phillies lost 1-0 to the Brewers. He pitched 7 innings allowing 0 earned runs with 1 hit. He also recorded 9 strikeouts with 1 walk. The last time Megill took the mound, he recorded a win as the Mets defeated the D-Backs 6-2. He finished with 6.2 IP, 7 K, 1 BB, while allowing 2 earned runs on 5 hits. Today, Nola projects for 6.30 innings pitched with 2.3 ER, 5.2 hits, 6.1 strikeouts, and 1.8 walks, according to THE BAT. Meanwhile, THE BAT projects Megill's average outcome to be 5.45 IP, 2.3 ER, 4.9 H, 5.3 strikeouts, and 1.8 walks.
Rhys Hoskins has a high pull rate on his fly balls (36.4% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
The New York Mets have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Eduardo Escobar is an extreme fly ball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia.
The New York Mets have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to THE BAT X, and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season.
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